Portugal Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round
Seguro 30-40% 47%
Seguro 40-50% 25%
Seguro 20-30% 19%
Seguro 50%+ 5.3%
$770,985 Vol.
$770,985 Vol.
Feb 8, 2026
Seguro 50%+
$89,532 Vol.
5%
Seguro 50%+
$89,532 Vol.
5%
Seguro 40-50%
$71,265 Vol.
25%
Seguro 40-50%
$71,265 Vol.
25%
Seguro 30-40%
$41,726 Vol.
47%
Seguro 30-40%
$41,726 Vol.
47%
Seguro 20-30%
$119,890 Vol.
19%
Seguro 20-30%
$119,890 Vol.
19%
Seguro 10-20%
$174,558 Vol.
4%
Seguro 10-20%
$174,558 Vol.
4%
Seguro 0-10%
$166,013 Vol.
2%
Seguro 0-10%
$166,013 Vol.
2%
Ventura Victory
$108,001 Vol.
1%
Ventura Victory
$108,001 Vol.
1%
Rules
Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Created At: Jan 20, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
Volume
$770,985End Date
Feb 8, 2026Created At
Jan 20, 2026, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Portugal Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round
Seguro 30-40% 47%
Seguro 40-50% 25%
Seguro 20-30% 19%
Seguro 50%+ 5.3%
$770,985 Vol.
$770,985 Vol.
Feb 8, 2026
Seguro 50%+
$89,532 Vol.
5%
Seguro 40-50%
$71,265 Vol.
25%
Seguro 30-40%
$41,726 Vol.
47%
Seguro 20-30%
$119,890 Vol.
19%
Seguro 10-20%
$174,558 Vol.
4%
Seguro 0-10%
$166,013 Vol.
2%
Ventura Victory
$108,001 Vol.
1%
About
Volume
$770,985End Date
Feb 8, 2026Created At
Jan 20, 2026, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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