$118,917 Vol.
Oct 31, 2025
October 31
$19,965 Vol.
No
October 31
$19,965 Vol.
No
November 14
$39,296 Vol.
No
November 14
$39,296 Vol.
No
November 30
$11,102 Vol.
No
November 30
$11,102 Vol.
No
December 31
$48,554 Vol.
No
December 31
$48,554 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Indian territory by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Pakistani military forces that impact Indian territory (e.g., if a Pakistani missile or drone hits a target within India’s borders, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Indian territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether debris lands on Indian soil or causes damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or any operation conducted by Pakistani ground forces will not qualify as a strike under this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Indian territory by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Pakistani military forces that impact Indian territory (e.g., if a Pakistani missile or drone hits a target within India’s borders, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Indian territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether debris lands on Indian soil or causes damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or any operation conducted by Pakistani ground forces will not qualify as a strike under this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Pakistani military forces that impact Indian territory (e.g., if a Pakistani missile or drone hits a target within India’s borders, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Indian territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether debris lands on Indian soil or causes damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or any operation conducted by Pakistani ground forces will not qualify as a strike under this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Oct 14, 2025, 8:59 AM ET
Volume
$118,917End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Oct 14, 2025, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$118,917 Vol.
October 31
$19,965 Vol.
No
November 14
$39,296 Vol.
No
November 30
$11,102 Vol.
No
December 31
$48,554 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$118,917End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Oct 14, 2025, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...
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