# of LDP seats after the 2026 Japanese snap election? (Higher Brackets)
# of LDP seats after the 2026 Japanese snap election? (Higher Brackets)
310+ 100.0%
<250 <1%
250–264 <1%
265–279 <1%
$119,316 Vol.
$119,316 Vol.
Feb 8, 2026
<250
No
250–264
No
265–279
No
280–294
No
295–309
No
310+
Yes
310+ 100.0%
<250 <1%
250–264 <1%
265–279 <1%
$119,316 Vol.
$119,316 Vol.
Feb 8, 2026
<250
$6,709 Vol.
No
250–264
$4,332 Vol.
No
265–279
$5,955 Vol.
No
280–294
$5,971 Vol.
No
295–309
$25,962 Vol.
No
310+
$70,388 Vol.
Yes
General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) in the Japanese House of Representatives (衆議院, Shūgiin) as a result of the next Japanese general election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Japanese government, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/) or e-Stat (https://www.e-stat.go.jp/).General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) in the Japanese House of Representatives (衆議院, Shūgiin) as a result of the next Japanese general election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Japanese government, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/) or e-Stat (https://www.e-stat.go.jp/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) in the Japanese House of Representatives (衆議院, Shūgiin) as a result of the next Japanese general election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Japanese government, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/) or e-Stat (https://www.e-stat.go.jp/).
Market Opened: Feb 5, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
Volume
$119,316End Date
Feb 8, 2026Market Opened
Feb 5, 2026, 4:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No




Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions