# of jobs Elon and DOGE cut in first 6 months?
50-100k 100.0%
<25k <1%
25-50k <1%
100-200k <1%
$1,842,263 Vol.
$1,842,263 Vol.
Jul 3, 2025
<25k
$152,926 Vol.
No
<25k
$152,926 Vol.
No
25-50k
$126,302 Vol.
No
25-50k
$126,302 Vol.
No
50-100k
$750,321 Vol.
Yes
50-100k
$750,321 Vol.
Yes
100-200k
$371,865 Vol.
No
100-200k
$371,865 Vol.
No
200k+
$440,849 Vol.
No
200k+
$440,849 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve based on the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees, as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) under the "All Employees, Federal" series (CES9091000001), displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees decreases by less than 25,000 between the December 2024 report and the June 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The difference will be calculated as the December 2024 value minus the June 2025 value.
The December 2024 figure will be based on the initial December 2024 BLS Employment Situation report scheduled for release on January 3, 2025, and the initial June 2025 figure will be based on the report scheduled for release on July 3, 2025. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The resolution source will be the BLS Employment Situation data, specifically the series CES9091000001, available at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001 or the official BLS website.This market will resolve based on the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees, as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) under the "All Employees, Federal" series (CES9091000001), displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees decreases by less than 25,000 between the December 2024 report and the June 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The difference will be calculated as the December 2024 value minus the June 2025 value.
The December 2024 figure will be based on the initial December 2024 BLS Employment Situation report scheduled for release on January 3, 2025, and the initial June 2025 figure will be based on the report scheduled for release on July 3, 2025. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The resolution source will be the BLS Employment Situation data, specifically the series CES9091000001, available at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001 or the official BLS website.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees decreases by less than 25,000 between the December 2024 report and the June 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The difference will be calculated as the December 2024 value minus the June 2025 value.
The December 2024 figure will be based on the initial December 2024 BLS Employment Situation report scheduled for release on January 3, 2025, and the initial June 2025 figure will be based on the report scheduled for release on July 3, 2025. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The resolution source will be the BLS Employment Situation data, specifically the series CES9091000001, available at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001 or the official BLS website.
Created At: Dec 19, 2024, 7:11 PM ET
Volume
$1,842,263End Date
Jul 3, 2025Created At
Dec 19, 2024, 7:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
# of jobs Elon and DOGE cut in first 6 months?
50-100k 100.0%
<25k <1%
25-50k <1%
100-200k <1%
$1,842,263 Vol.
$1,842,263 Vol.
Jul 3, 2025
<25k
$152,926 Vol.
No
25-50k
$126,302 Vol.
No
50-100k
$750,321 Vol.
Yes
100-200k
$371,865 Vol.
No
200k+
$440,849 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$1,842,263End Date
Jul 3, 2025Created At
Dec 19, 2024, 7:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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