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NVIDIA Data Center Revenue above __ in Q1?

Market icon

NVIDIA Data Center Revenue above __ in Q1?

NEW
May 27, 2026
Polymarket

$2,816 Vol.

Polymarket

50B

$657 Vol.

98%

55B

$676 Vol.

94%

60B

$657 Vol.

92%

65B

$337 Vol.

92%

70B

$254 Vol.

77%

75B

$95 Vol.

44%

80B

$139 Vol.

21%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nvidia’s data center revenue for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Nvidia’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.NVIDIA's data center segment, powering over 90% of total revenue, surged to a record $62.3 billion in Q4 FY2026—up 75% year-over-year—fueled by unrelenting AI hyperscaler demand for Hopper and Blackwell GPUs amid $1 trillion in disclosed orders visibility through 2027. The company's Q1 FY2027 total revenue guidance of $78 billion (±2%), excluding any China data center compute due to export curbs, implies continued segment dominance and acceleration from prior quarters, with consensus analyst estimates aligning closely at $78.6 billion. Traders price in robust growth from inference workloads and networking ramps, though U.S. tariff risks loom; Q1 results due May 20, 2026, will confirm versus this elevated bar, with focus on margins (guided 75% non-GAAP) and Blackwell ramp.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nvidia’s data center revenue for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is Nvidia’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$2,816
End Date
May 27, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nvidia’s data center revenue for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Nvidia’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nvidia’s data center revenue for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Nvidia’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.NVIDIA's data center segment, powering over 90% of total revenue, surged to a record $62.3 billion in Q4 FY2026—up 75% year-over-year—fueled by unrelenting AI hyperscaler demand for Hopper and Blackwell GPUs amid $1 trillion in disclosed orders visibility through 2027. The company's Q1 FY2027 total revenue guidance of $78 billion (±2%), excluding any China data center compute due to export curbs, implies continued segment dominance and acceleration from prior quarters, with consensus analyst estimates aligning closely at $78.6 billion. Traders price in robust growth from inference workloads and networking ramps, though U.S. tariff risks loom; Q1 results due May 20, 2026, will confirm versus this elevated bar, with focus on margins (guided 75% non-GAAP) and Blackwell ramp.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nvidia’s data center revenue for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is Nvidia’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$2,816
End Date
May 27, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nvidia’s data center revenue for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Nvidia’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NVIDIA Data Center Revenue above __ in Q1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "50B" at 98%, followed by "55B" at 94%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NVIDIA Data Center Revenue above __ in Q1?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NVIDIA Data Center Revenue above __ in Q1?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NVIDIA Data Center Revenue above __ in Q1?" is "50B" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "55B" at 94%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NVIDIA Data Center Revenue above __ in Q1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.