Next US x Venezuela military engagement on...?
No Engagement in 2025 100.0%
November 24 <1%
November 25 <1%
November 26 <1%
$6,115,302 Vol.
$6,115,302 Vol.
November 24
$16,521 Vol.
No
November 24
$16,521 Vol.
No
November 25
$12,305 Vol.
No
November 25
$12,305 Vol.
No
November 26
$50,403 Vol.
No
November 26
$50,403 Vol.
No
November 27
$26,626 Vol.
No
November 27
$26,626 Vol.
No
November 28
$110,465 Vol.
No
November 28
$110,465 Vol.
No
November 29
$69,037 Vol.
No
November 29
$69,037 Vol.
No
November 30
$38,868 Vol.
No
November 30
$38,868 Vol.
No
December 1
$152,688 Vol.
No
December 1
$152,688 Vol.
No
December 2
$143,803 Vol.
No
December 2
$143,803 Vol.
No
December 3
$156,897 Vol.
No
December 3
$156,897 Vol.
No
December 4
$114,214 Vol.
No
December 4
$114,214 Vol.
No
December 5
$80,954 Vol.
No
December 5
$80,954 Vol.
No
December 6
$247,933 Vol.
No
December 6
$247,933 Vol.
No
December 7
$252,347 Vol.
No
December 7
$252,347 Vol.
No
December 8
$144,644 Vol.
No
December 8
$144,644 Vol.
No
December 9
$100,331 Vol.
No
December 9
$100,331 Vol.
No
December 10
$139,654 Vol.
No
December 10
$139,654 Vol.
No
December 11
$151,302 Vol.
No
December 11
$151,302 Vol.
No
December 12
$169,819 Vol.
No
December 12
$169,819 Vol.
No
December 13
$156,535 Vol.
No
December 13
$156,535 Vol.
No
December 14
$173,132 Vol.
No
December 14
$173,132 Vol.
No
December 15
$142,702 Vol.
No
December 15
$142,702 Vol.
No
December 16
$246,708 Vol.
No
December 16
$246,708 Vol.
No
December 17
$259,801 Vol.
No
December 17
$259,801 Vol.
No
December 18
$146,055 Vol.
No
December 18
$146,055 Vol.
No
December 19
$182,914 Vol.
No
December 19
$182,914 Vol.
No
December 20
$147,100 Vol.
No
December 20
$147,100 Vol.
No
December 21
$120,640 Vol.
No
December 21
$120,640 Vol.
No
December 22
$169,657 Vol.
No
December 22
$169,657 Vol.
No
December 23
$119,274 Vol.
No
December 23
$119,274 Vol.
No
December 24
$184,201 Vol.
No
December 24
$184,201 Vol.
No
December 25
$230,223 Vol.
No
December 25
$230,223 Vol.
No
December 26
$204,551 Vol.
No
December 26
$204,551 Vol.
No
December 27
$189,590 Vol.
No
December 27
$189,590 Vol.
No
December 28
$150,850 Vol.
No
December 28
$150,850 Vol.
No
December 29
$193,759 Vol.
No
December 29
$193,759 Vol.
No
December 30
$198,231 Vol.
No
December 30
$198,231 Vol.
No
December 31
$203,861 Vol.
No
December 31
$203,861 Vol.
No
No Engagement in 2025
$516,706 Vol.
Yes
No Engagement in 2025
$516,706 Vol.
Yes
Rules
A "military engagement" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Venezuelan military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution; however, minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Any U.S. military kinetic strike that impacts Venezuelan land territory will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Missiles or drone strikes which are intercepted will not qualify regardless of whether they land on adversarial territory or cause damage. Similarly, surface-to-air missile strikes impacting adversarial territory will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution (although surface to air missiles fired at an adversarial military aircraft would qualify).
Note: the U.S. Coast Guard is a branch of the U.S. Armed Forces; Venezuela’s Milicia Nacional Bolivariana (militia) is a “special component” of the Venezuelan National Bolivarian Armed Forces (FANB); and Venezuela’s Coast Guard (Comando de Guardacostas) is a component of the Venezuelan Navy (Armada Bolivariana) and thus part of the FANB.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Nov 24, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Next US x Venezuela military engagement on...?
No Engagement in 2025 100.0%
November 24 <1%
November 25 <1%
November 26 <1%
$6,115,302 Vol.
$6,115,302 Vol.
November 24
No
November 25
No
November 26
No
November 27
No
November 28
No
November 29
No
November 30
No
December 1
No
December 2
No
December 3
No
December 4
No
December 5
No
December 6
No
December 7
No
December 8
No
December 9
No
December 10
No
December 11
No
December 12
No
December 13
No
December 14
No
December 15
No
December 16
No
December 17
No
December 18
No
December 19
No
December 20
No
December 21
No
December 22
No
December 23
No
December 24
No
December 25
No
December 26
No
December 27
No
December 28
No
December 29
No
December 30
No
December 31
No
No Engagement in 2025
Yes
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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