Next leader out of power before 2027?
$474,874 Vol.
Schoof - Netherlands PM 61%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 22%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President 3.6%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President 2.6%
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$18,647 Vol.
61%
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$18,647 Vol.
61%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$18,139 Vol.
22%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$18,139 Vol.
22%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$23,334 Vol.
4%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$23,334 Vol.
4%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$20,337 Vol.
3%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$20,337 Vol.
3%
Starmer - UK PM
$16,957 Vol.
2%
Starmer - UK PM
$16,957 Vol.
2%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$15,941 Vol.
2%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$15,941 Vol.
2%
Lecornu - France PM
$14,304 Vol.
1%
Lecornu - France PM
$14,304 Vol.
1%
Petro - Colombia President
$20,169 Vol.
1%
Petro - Colombia President
$20,169 Vol.
1%
Trump - USA President
$29,631 Vol.
1%
Trump - USA President
$29,631 Vol.
1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$18,685 Vol.
1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$18,685 Vol.
1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$17,327 Vol.
1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$17,327 Vol.
1%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$14,371 Vol.
1%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$14,371 Vol.
1%
None before 2027
$16,239 Vol.
1%
None before 2027
$16,239 Vol.
1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$14,096 Vol.
1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$14,096 Vol.
1%
Putin - Russia President
$21,427 Vol.
1%
Putin - Russia President
$21,427 Vol.
1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$11,476 Vol.
<1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$11,476 Vol.
<1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$15,849 Vol.
<1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$15,849 Vol.
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$15,271 Vol.
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$15,271 Vol.
<1%
Orbán - Hungary PM
$15,656 Vol.
<1%
Orbán - Hungary PM
$15,656 Vol.
<1%
Macron - France President
$13,243 Vol.
<1%
Macron - France President
$13,243 Vol.
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$27,339 Vol.
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$27,339 Vol.
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$24,838 Vol.
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$24,838 Vol.
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$13,998 Vol.
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$13,998 Vol.
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$13,824 Vol.
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$13,824 Vol.
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
$15,184 Vol.
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
$15,184 Vol.
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$16,899 Vol.
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$16,899 Vol.
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
$11,692 Vol.
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
$11,692 Vol.
<1%
Rules
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Jan 5, 2026, 8:12 PM UTC
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...$474,874 Vol.
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Schoof - Netherlands PM 61%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 22%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President 3.6%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President 2.6%
Schoof - Netherlands PM
61%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
22%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
4%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
3%
Starmer - UK PM
2%
Takaichi - Japan PM
2%
Lecornu - France PM
1%
Petro - Colombia President
1%
Trump - USA President
1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
1%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
1%
None before 2027
1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
1%
Putin - Russia President
1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
<1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
<1%
Orbán - Hungary PM
<1%
Macron - France President
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
<1%
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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