Market icon

Next Government of Canada

Liberal Minority 100.0%

Conservative Majority <1%

Liberal Majority <1%

Other <1%

$19,217,899 Vol.

Rules

The 2025 Canadian federal election will be held on April 28 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.

This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition that forms after the next Canadian Parliament after the election.

The government will be considered formed once the legislative process for forming a government is completed and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances.

If the next Canadian Government after the election is not announced by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Canadian government.
Volume
$19,217,899
End Date
Jun 30, 2025
Created At
Mar 27, 2025, 5:41 PM ET
The 2025 Canadian federal election will be held on April 28 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition that forms after the next Canadian Parliament after the election. The government will be considered formed once the legislative process for forming a government is completed and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances. If the next Canadian Government after the election is not announced by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Canadian government.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Next Government of Canada

Liberal Minority 100.0%

Conservative Majority <1%

Liberal Majority <1%

Other <1%

$19,217,899 Vol.

Liberal Minority

$4,811,448 Vol.

Yes

Conservative Majority

$3,455,524 Vol.

No

Liberal Majority

$6,726,161 Vol.

No

Other

$2,137,097 Vol.

No

Conservative Minority

$2,087,669 Vol.

No

About

Volume
$19,217,899
End Date
Jun 30, 2025
Created At
Mar 27, 2025, 5:41 PM ET

Beware of external links.