Next French Presidential Election

Name: Next French Presidential Election
Start: 2025-11-13T23:10:18.574088Z
End: 2027-04-30T00:00:00Z

Jordan Bardella 22%

Marine Le Pen 20%

Édouard Philippe 12%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

$1,836,071 Vol

Apr 30, 2027

Jordan Bardella
$124,941 Vol.
22%

Marine Le Pen
$81,530 Vol.
20%

Édouard Philippe
$37,201 Vol.
12%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$56,912 Vol.
11%

Dominique de Villepin
$73,534 Vol.
8%

Sarah Knafo
$47,576 Vol.
5%

Gabriel Attal
$36,049 Vol.
4%

François Hollande
$52,008 Vol.
4%

David Lisnard
$29,823 Vol.
3%

Bruno Retailleau
$32,340 Vol.
3%

Sébastien Lecornu
$13,504 Vol.
3%

Raphaël Glucksmann
$32,492 Vol.
2%

Éric Zemmour
$46,216 Vol.
1%

Juan Branco
$40,594 Vol.
1%

Gérald Darmanin
$31,270 Vol.
1%

Laurent Wauquiez
$22,258 Vol.
1%

Jean Castex
$46,770 Vol.
1%

François Ruffin
$23,561 Vol.
1%

Marine Tondelier
$39,186 Vol.
1%

Clémence Guetté
$9,660 Vol.
<1%

Olivier Faure
$26,397 Vol.
<1%

Ségolène Royal
$77,254 Vol.
<1%

Bernard Cazeneuve
$23,347 Vol.
<1%

Xavier Bertrand
$66,529 Vol.
<1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet
$51,706 Vol.
<1%

Fabien Roussel
$74,980 Vol.
<1%

François Asselineau
$98,452 Vol.
<1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
$45,246 Vol.
<1%

Valérie Pécresse
$34,975 Vol.
<1%

Élisabeth Borne
$45,005 Vol.
<1%

Carole Delga
$78,142 Vol.
<1%

Manuel Bompard
$147,847 Vol.
<1%

Clémentine Autain
$64,082 Vol.
<1%

Michel Barnier
$36,601 Vol.
<1%

François Bayrou
$42,850 Vol.
<1%

Mathilde Panot
$45,232 Vol.
<1%

Rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Created At: Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Volume

$1,836,071

End Date

Apr 30, 2027

Created At

Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella 22%

Marine Le Pen 20%

Édouard Philippe 12%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

$1,836,071 Vol

Apr 30, 2027

Jordan Bardella

$124,941 Vol.

22%

Marine Le Pen

$81,530 Vol.

20%

Édouard Philippe

$37,201 Vol.

12%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$56,912 Vol.

11%

Dominique de Villepin

$73,534 Vol.

Sarah Knafo

$47,576 Vol.

Gabriel Attal

$36,049 Vol.

François Hollande

$52,008 Vol.

David Lisnard

$29,823 Vol.

Bruno Retailleau

$32,340 Vol.

Sébastien Lecornu

$13,504 Vol.

Raphaël Glucksmann

$32,492 Vol.

Éric Zemmour

$46,216 Vol.

Juan Branco

$40,594 Vol.

Gérald Darmanin

$31,270 Vol.

Laurent Wauquiez

$22,258 Vol.

Jean Castex

$46,770 Vol.

François Ruffin

$23,561 Vol.

Marine Tondelier

$39,186 Vol.

Clémence Guetté

$9,660 Vol.

<1%

Olivier Faure

$26,397 Vol.

<1%

Ségolène Royal

$77,254 Vol.

<1%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$23,347 Vol.

<1%

Xavier Bertrand

$66,529 Vol.

<1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$51,706 Vol.

<1%

Fabien Roussel

$74,980 Vol.

<1%

François Asselineau

$98,452 Vol.

<1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$45,246 Vol.

<1%

Valérie Pécresse

$34,975 Vol.

<1%

Élisabeth Borne

$45,005 Vol.

<1%

Carole Delga

$78,142 Vol.

<1%

Manuel Bompard

$147,847 Vol.

<1%

Clémentine Autain

$64,082 Vol.

<1%

Michel Barnier

$36,601 Vol.

<1%

François Bayrou

$42,850 Vol.

<1%

Mathilde Panot

$45,232 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$1,836,071

End Date

Apr 30, 2027

Created At

Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

French election called by June 30, 2026?

30%

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

55%

Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

63%

Beware of external links.

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella$124,941 Vol.22%buy Yes23¢buy No79¢

Marine Le Pen$81,530 Vol.20%buy Yes21¢buy No82¢

Édouard Philippe$37,201 Vol.12%buy Yes13¢buy No89¢

Jean-Luc Mélenchon$56,912 Vol.11%buy Yes12¢buy No90¢

Dominique de Villepin$73,534 Vol.8%buy Yes8.7¢buy No92.5¢

Sarah Knafo$47,576 Vol.5%buy Yes5.5¢buy No94.6¢

Gabriel Attal$36,049 Vol.4%buy Yes5¢buy No97¢

François Hollande$52,008 Vol.4%buy Yes5.1¢buy No97.5¢

David Lisnard$29,823 Vol.3%buy Yes3.5¢buy No96.6¢

Bruno Retailleau$32,340 Vol.3%buy Yes3.3¢buy No96.9¢

Sébastien Lecornu$13,504 Vol.3%buy Yes3.2¢buy No97.0¢

Raphaël Glucksmann$32,492 Vol.2%buy Yes1.9¢buy No98.2¢

Éric Zemmour$46,216 Vol.1%buy Yes1.5¢buy No98.7¢

Juan Branco$40,594 Vol.1%buy Yes1.0¢buy No99.2¢

Gérald Darmanin$31,270 Vol.1%buy Yes0.9¢buy No99.3¢

Laurent Wauquiez$22,258 Vol.1%buy Yes0.7¢buy No99.5¢

Jean Castex$46,770 Vol.1%buy Yes0.7¢buy No99.6¢

François Ruffin$23,561 Vol.1%buy Yes0.7¢buy No99.7¢

Marine Tondelier$39,186 Vol.1%buy Yes0.6¢buy No99.6¢

Clémence Guetté$9,660 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.5¢buy No99.7¢

Olivier Faure$26,397 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.5¢buy No99.8¢

Ségolène Royal$77,254 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.4¢buy No99.8¢

Bernard Cazeneuve$23,347 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.3¢buy No99.8¢

Xavier Bertrand$66,529 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.3¢buy No99.9¢

Yaël Braun-Pivet$51,706 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.3¢buy No99.9¢

Fabien Roussel$74,980 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

François Asselineau$98,452 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan$45,246 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Valérie Pécresse$34,975 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Élisabeth Borne$45,005 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Carole Delga$78,142 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Manuel Bompard$147,847 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Clémentine Autain$64,082 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Michel Barnier$36,601 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

François Bayrou$42,850 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Mathilde Panot$45,232 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Market Context