Incumbent Eric Burlison holds a commanding position in Missouri's 7th congressional district race, backed by the district's consistent Republican leanings and his decisive August 2026 primary victory with nearly 74 percent of the vote against two challengers. Multiple forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting historical voting patterns and Burlison's 2024 general election margin above 70 percent. His substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $1.4 million compared to Democratic nominee Missi Hesketh's roughly $50,000, further reinforces trader consensus around his strong reelection prospects on November 3. Late-breaking developments such as unforeseen scandals, health events, or major shifts in national political conditions remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMO-07 House Election Winner
MO-07 House Election Winner
$28,766 Vol.
$28,766 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Eric Burlison (R)
96%
Missi Hesketh (D)
3%
$28,766 Vol.
$28,766 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Eric Burlison (R)
$17,012 Vol.
96%
Missi Hesketh (D)
$11,755 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Eric Burlison holds a commanding position in Missouri's 7th congressional district race, backed by the district's consistent Republican leanings and his decisive August 2026 primary victory with nearly 74 percent of the vote against two challengers. Multiple forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting historical voting patterns and Burlison's 2024 general election margin above 70 percent. His substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $1.4 million compared to Democratic nominee Missi Hesketh's roughly $50,000, further reinforces trader consensus around his strong reelection prospects on November 3. Late-breaking developments such as unforeseen scandals, health events, or major shifts in national political conditions remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$28,766End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Eric Burlison holds a commanding position in Missouri's 7th congressional district race, backed by the district's consistent Republican leanings and his decisive August 2026 primary victory with nearly 74 percent of the vote against two challengers. Multiple forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting historical voting patterns and Burlison's 2024 general election margin above 70 percent. His substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $1.4 million compared to Democratic nominee Missi Hesketh's roughly $50,000, further reinforces trader consensus around his strong reelection prospects on November 3. Late-breaking developments such as unforeseen scandals, health events, or major shifts in national political conditions remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,766End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Eric Burlison holds a commanding position in Missouri's 7th congressional district race, backed by the district's consistent Republican leanings and his decisive August 2026 primary victory with nearly 74 percent of the vote against two challengers. Multiple forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting historical voting patterns and Burlison's 2024 general election margin above 70 percent. His substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $1.4 million compared to Democratic nominee Missi Hesketh's roughly $50,000, further reinforces trader consensus around his strong reelection prospects on November 3. Late-breaking developments such as unforeseen scandals, health events, or major shifts in national political conditions remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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