Missouri’s 7th congressional district maintains a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Eric Burlison faces limited primary opposition and benefits from the district’s southwest Missouri base and partisan voting index that has historically delivered large GOP margins. Democratic nominee Missi Hesketh has filed for the August 2026 primary, yet fundraising and organizational resources remain modest relative to the seat’s baseline. Redistricting changes primarily affected other Missouri districts, leaving MO-07’s boundaries largely intact. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican therefore tracks the district’s entrenched lean, with any shift requiring either a significant national environment favoring Democrats or an unforeseen development such as an incumbent scandal or health issue that alters the general-election matchup before November 3, 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$20,096 거래량
$20,096 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
95%
민주당
6%
$20,096 거래량
$20,096 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$16,731 거래량
95%
민주당
$3,365 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 7th congressional district maintains a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Eric Burlison faces limited primary opposition and benefits from the district’s southwest Missouri base and partisan voting index that has historically delivered large GOP margins. Democratic nominee Missi Hesketh has filed for the August 2026 primary, yet fundraising and organizational resources remain modest relative to the seat’s baseline. Redistricting changes primarily affected other Missouri districts, leaving MO-07’s boundaries largely intact. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican therefore tracks the district’s entrenched lean, with any shift requiring either a significant national environment favoring Democrats or an unforeseen development such as an incumbent scandal or health issue that alters the general-election matchup before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$20,096종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 7th congressional district maintains a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Eric Burlison faces limited primary opposition and benefits from the district’s southwest Missouri base and partisan voting index that has historically delivered large GOP margins. Democratic nominee Missi Hesketh has filed for the August 2026 primary, yet fundraising and organizational resources remain modest relative to the seat’s baseline. Redistricting changes primarily affected other Missouri districts, leaving MO-07’s boundaries largely intact. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican therefore tracks the district’s entrenched lean, with any shift requiring either a significant national environment favoring Democrats or an unforeseen development such as an incumbent scandal or health issue that alters the general-election matchup before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$20,096종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 7th congressional district maintains a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Eric Burlison faces limited primary opposition and benefits from the district’s southwest Missouri base and partisan voting index that has historically delivered large GOP margins. Democratic nominee Missi Hesketh has filed for the August 2026 primary, yet fundraising and organizational resources remain modest relative to the seat’s baseline. Redistricting changes primarily affected other Missouri districts, leaving MO-07’s boundaries largely intact. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican therefore tracks the district’s entrenched lean, with any shift requiring either a significant national environment favoring Democrats or an unforeseen development such as an incumbent scandal or health issue that alters the general-election matchup before November 3, 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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