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JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?

Market icon

JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$7,019,569 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$7,019,569 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from his candidacy for Vice President in the 2024 US election by 11:59 PM ET on August 31, 2024.

In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent JD Vance from continuing the race, this market will also resolve to "Yes".

If JD Vance does not announce his withdrawal or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 presidential race by the specified time, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$7,019,569
End Date
Aug 31, 2024
Market Opened
Jul 22, 2024, 12:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from his candidacy for Vice President in the 2024 US election by 11:59 PM ET on August 31, 2024. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent JD Vance from continuing the race, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If JD Vance does not announce his withdrawal or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 presidential race by the specified time, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from his candidacy for Vice President in the 2024 US election by 11:59 PM ET on August 31, 2024.

In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent JD Vance from continuing the race, this market will also resolve to "Yes".

If JD Vance does not announce his withdrawal or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 presidential race by the specified time, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$7,019,569
End Date
Aug 31, 2024
Market Opened
Jul 22, 2024, 12:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from his candidacy for Vice President in the 2024 US election by 11:59 PM ET on August 31, 2024. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent JD Vance from continuing the race, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If JD Vance does not announce his withdrawal or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 presidential race by the specified time, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?" has generated $7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 22, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.