Skip to main content

US Election predictions & odds

·
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

27%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$5M today

$47M Liq.

672

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$531M Vol.

$3M today

$29M Liq.

852

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

38%

J.D. Vance

$559M Vol.

$3M today

$30M Liq.

352

Ends in over 2 years

California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

67%

Tom Steyer

$11M Vol.

$289K today

$2M Liq.

29

Ends in 7 months

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

53%

Democrats Sweep

$5M Vol.

$119K today

$588K Liq.

148

Ends in 7 months

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

56%

Democratic Party

$2M Vol.

$338K Liq.

31

Ends in 7 months

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

59%

Ken Paxton

$15M Vol.

$333K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

47%

Abdul El-Sayed

$424K Vol.

$104K Liq.

2

Ends in 4 months

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

90%

Graham Platner

$2M Vol.

$277K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

85%

Democratic Party

$5M Vol.

$569K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

48%

Nithya Raman

$899K Vol.

$131K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

61%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$819K Liq.

66

Ends in over 2 years

IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

95%

Christina Bohannan

$14.7K Vol.

$27.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Alaska Governor Election Winner

31%

Bernadette Wilson

$824K Vol.

$235K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner

South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner

81%

Lindsey Graham

$99.7K Vol.

$57.1K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

86%

$34.0K Vol.

$10.7K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

32%

Pass 3-6%

$11.8K Vol.

$36.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner

IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner

97%

André Carson

$14.4K Vol.

$43.9K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Alaska Senate Election Winner

63%

Mary Peltola

$302K Vol.

$82.1K Liq.

8

Ends in 7 months

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

26%

≤47

$2M Vol.

$202K Liq.

6

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like US Election.

Polymarket currently hosts 148 active markets for US Election that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.2B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Blue wave in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 27% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on US Election predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.