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US Election predictions & odds

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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

28%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$5M today

$47M Liq.

672

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$529M Vol.

$4M today

$30M Liq.

851

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$558M Vol.

$3M today

$30M Liq.

352

Ends in over 2 years

California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

70%

Tom Steyer

$10M Vol.

$297K today

$2M Liq.

29

Ends in 7 months

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

53%

Democrats Sweep

$5M Vol.

$86.5K today

$596K Liq.

148

Ends in 7 months

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

59%

Ken Paxton

$15M Vol.

$349K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

56%

Democratic Party

$2M Vol.

$402K Liq.

31

Ends in 7 months

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

90%

Graham Platner

$2M Vol.

$283K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

85%

Democratic Party

$4M Vol.

$579K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

50%

Nithya Raman

$894K Vol.

$141K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

32%

Pass 3-6%

$11.8K Vol.

$61.4K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner

South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner

81%

Lindsey Graham

$99.7K Vol.

$62.1K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

46%

Mallory McMorrow

$410K Vol.

$111K Liq.

2

Ends in 4 months

IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

95%

Christina Bohannan

$14.7K Vol.

$43.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Alaska Senate Election Winner

63%

Mary Peltola

$302K Vol.

$80.5K Liq.

8

Ends in 7 months

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

61%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$841K Liq.

66

Ends in over 2 years

Texas Senate Election Matchup

Texas Senate Election Matchup

60%

Talarico & Paxton

$667K Vol.

$120K Liq.

3

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

26%

≤47

$2M Vol.

$234K Liq.

6

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Alaska Governor Election Winner

31%

Bernadette Wilson

$822K Vol.

$260K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

28%

Paxton 9%+

$53.6K Vol.

$125K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like US Election.

Polymarket currently hosts 148 active markets for US Election that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.2B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 28% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on US Election predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.