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Honduras Election: Nasralla flips Asfura by Tuesday 12 PM ET?

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Honduras Election: Nasralla flips Asfura by Tuesday 12 PM ET?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$53,866 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$53,866 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between Salvador Nasralla and Nasry "Tito" Asfura, Salvador Nasralla becomes the favorite in the Honduras Presidential Election market (https://polymarket.com/event/honduras-presidential-election?tid=1764630836295) for any one-hour period ending by December 2, 2025, 12:00 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Salvador Nasralla will be considered to have become the favorite for any one-hour period if he is ahead of Nasry "Tito" Asfura in more individual minutes than Nasry "Tito" Asfura is ahead of Salvador Nasralla during a qualifying time period.

A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Honduras Presidential Election” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/will-nasralla-flip-asfura-for-honduras-presidential-election-by-tomorrow-at-noon or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the one-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Volume
$53,866
End Date
Dec 2, 2025
Market Opened
Dec 1, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between Salvador Nasralla and Nasry "Tito" Asfura, Salvador Nasralla becomes the favorite in the Honduras Presidential Election market (https://polymarket.com/event/honduras-presidential-election?tid=1764630836295) for any one-hour period ending by December 2, 2025, 12:00 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Salvador Nasralla will be considered to have become the favorite for any one-hour period if he is ahead of Nasry "Tito" Asfura in more individual minutes than Nasry "Tito" Asfura is ahead of Salvador Nasralla during a qualifying time period. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Honduras Presidential Election” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/will-nasralla-flip-asfura-for-honduras-presidential-election-by-tomorrow-at-noon or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the one-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between Salvador Nasralla and Nasry "Tito" Asfura, Salvador Nasralla becomes the favorite in the Honduras Presidential Election market (https://polymarket.com/event/honduras-presidential-election?tid=1764630836295) for any one-hour period ending by December 2, 2025, 12:00 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Salvador Nasralla will be considered to have become the favorite for any one-hour period if he is ahead of Nasry "Tito" Asfura in more individual minutes than Nasry "Tito" Asfura is ahead of Salvador Nasralla during a qualifying time period.

A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Honduras Presidential Election” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/will-nasralla-flip-asfura-for-honduras-presidential-election-by-tomorrow-at-noon or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the one-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Volume
$53,866
End Date
Dec 2, 2025
Market Opened
Dec 1, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between Salvador Nasralla and Nasry "Tito" Asfura, Salvador Nasralla becomes the favorite in the Honduras Presidential Election market (https://polymarket.com/event/honduras-presidential-election?tid=1764630836295) for any one-hour period ending by December 2, 2025, 12:00 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Salvador Nasralla will be considered to have become the favorite for any one-hour period if he is ahead of Nasry "Tito" Asfura in more individual minutes than Nasry "Tito" Asfura is ahead of Salvador Nasralla during a qualifying time period. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Honduras Presidential Election” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/will-nasralla-flip-asfura-for-honduras-presidential-election-by-tomorrow-at-noon or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the one-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Honduras Election: Nasralla flips Asfura by Tuesday 12 PM ET?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Honduras Election: Nasralla flips Asfura by Tuesday 12 PM ET?" has generated $53.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 1, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Honduras Election: Nasralla flips Asfura by Tuesday 12 PM ET?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Honduras Election: Nasralla flips Asfura by Tuesday 12 PM ET?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Honduras Election: Nasralla flips Asfura by Tuesday 12 PM ET?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.