Taiwan's Central Weather Administration recorded Taipei's highest temperature on March 26 at 28.2°C at the Songshan station, exceeding the 27°C threshold and locking in 100% market-implied odds for that outcome as traders await final verification. This warmth stems from persistent high-pressure ridging over the region, suppressing clouds and allowing solar heating on light winds, consistent with a broader early-spring heat anomaly across northern Taiwan where averages climbed 3-5°C above March norms. Historical data shows Taipei's March highs rarely top 27°C, underscoring the unusual atmospheric setup. Barring a rare measurement revision from equipment error—unlikely given cross-station consistency—no realistic scenarios challenge this positioning, with resolution imminent upon official closeout.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on March 26?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 26?
27°C or higher 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 26, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
Yes
27°C or higher 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 26, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
No
18°C
$0 Vol.
No
19°C
$0 Vol.
No
20°C
$0 Vol.
No
21°C
$0 Vol.
No
22°C
$0 Vol.
No
23°C
$0 Vol.
No
24°C
$0 Vol.
No
25°C
$0 Vol.
No
26°C
$0 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration recorded Taipei's highest temperature on March 26 at 28.2°C at the Songshan station, exceeding the 27°C threshold and locking in 100% market-implied odds for that outcome as traders await final verification. This warmth stems from persistent high-pressure ridging over the region, suppressing clouds and allowing solar heating on light winds, consistent with a broader early-spring heat anomaly across northern Taiwan where averages climbed 3-5°C above March norms. Historical data shows Taipei's March highs rarely top 27°C, underscoring the unusual atmospheric setup. Barring a rare measurement revision from equipment error—unlikely given cross-station consistency—no realistic scenarios challenge this positioning, with resolution imminent upon official closeout.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Mar 26, 2026Market Opened
Mar 22, 2026, 6:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration recorded Taipei's highest temperature on March 26 at 28.2°C at the Songshan station, exceeding the 27°C threshold and locking in 100% market-implied odds for that outcome as traders await final verification. This warmth stems from persistent high-pressure ridging over the region, suppressing clouds and allowing solar heating on light winds, consistent with a broader early-spring heat anomaly across northern Taiwan where averages climbed 3-5°C above March norms. Historical data shows Taipei's March highs rarely top 27°C, underscoring the unusual atmospheric setup. Barring a rare measurement revision from equipment error—unlikely given cross-station consistency—no realistic scenarios challenge this positioning, with resolution imminent upon official closeout.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$0End Date
Mar 26, 2026Market Opened
Mar 22, 2026, 6:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Taiwan's Central Weather Administration recorded Taipei's highest temperature on March 26 at 28.2°C at the Songshan station, exceeding the 27°C threshold and locking in 100% market-implied odds for that outcome as traders await final verification. This warmth stems from persistent high-pressure ridging over the region, suppressing clouds and allowing solar heating on light winds, consistent with a broader early-spring heat anomaly across northern Taiwan where averages climbed 3-5°C above March norms. Historical data shows Taipei's March highs rarely top 27°C, underscoring the unusual atmospheric setup. Barring a rare measurement revision from equipment error—unlikely given cross-station consistency—no realistic scenarios challenge this positioning, with resolution imminent upon official closeout.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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