India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 36°C in Lucknow today under mainly clear skies transitioning to fully clear, boosting trader-implied probabilities to 39% for 36°C versus 35% for 35°C, following yesterday's actual high of 33.3°C—1.9°C below normal amid partial cloudiness. This tight split reflects model consensus on enhanced diurnal heating from low cloud cover and light winds (under 10 km/h), but differentiating factors include potential afternoon haze reducing solar insolation or slight overcast, which could cap peaks at 35°C; historical late-March norms average 34–36°C with similar dry continental conditions. IMD airport observations will resolve the market by evening, amid no active warnings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 29?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 29?
36°C 38%
35°C 35%
34°C or below 22%
37°C 6%
$45,634 Vol.
$45,634 Vol.
34°C or below
22%
35°C
35%
36°C
38%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
36°C 38%
35°C 35%
34°C or below 22%
37°C 6%
$45,634 Vol.
$45,634 Vol.
34°C or below
22%
35°C
35%
36°C
38%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 36°C in Lucknow today under mainly clear skies transitioning to fully clear, boosting trader-implied probabilities to 39% for 36°C versus 35% for 35°C, following yesterday's actual high of 33.3°C—1.9°C below normal amid partial cloudiness. This tight split reflects model consensus on enhanced diurnal heating from low cloud cover and light winds (under 10 km/h), but differentiating factors include potential afternoon haze reducing solar insolation or slight overcast, which could cap peaks at 35°C; historical late-March norms average 34–36°C with similar dry continental conditions. IMD airport observations will resolve the market by evening, amid no active warnings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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