Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 35°C (64.5%) as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 26, driven by the latest India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting a daytime maximum of 35-36°C amid persistent clear skies and dry northerly winds enhancing continental heating in the Indo-Gangetic Plain. Recent observations show March 24-25 maxima hitting 34-35°C, with minimal cloud cover suppressing any cooling, aligning with seasonal climatology where late-March averages hover around 32-34°C but trend warmer this year due to El Niño lingering effects. Model ensembles from IMD and global systems like GFS indicate low precipitation risk, limiting variability, though localized urban heat islands could nudge toward 36°C (30.5%). Final observations from Lucknow's Colvin station will resolve by evening, with updates expected throughout the day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
35°C 56%
36°C 35%
37°C 4.5%
39°C 1.8%
$95,589 Vol.
$95,589 Vol.
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
56%
36°C
35%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
<1%
35°C 56%
36°C 35%
37°C 4.5%
39°C 1.8%
$95,589 Vol.
$95,589 Vol.
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
56%
36°C
35%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 35°C (64.5%) as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 26, driven by the latest India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting a daytime maximum of 35-36°C amid persistent clear skies and dry northerly winds enhancing continental heating in the Indo-Gangetic Plain. Recent observations show March 24-25 maxima hitting 34-35°C, with minimal cloud cover suppressing any cooling, aligning with seasonal climatology where late-March averages hover around 32-34°C but trend warmer this year due to El Niño lingering effects. Model ensembles from IMD and global systems like GFS indicate low precipitation risk, limiting variability, though localized urban heat islands could nudge toward 36°C (30.5%). Final observations from Lucknow's Colvin station will resolve by evening, with updates expected throughout the day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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