Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around mild highs of 74-77°F for Los Angeles on March 28, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF showing peaks in this range amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the Southwest. Recent 24-hour forecast refinements indicate subtle warming from offshore flow weakening the typical coastal marine layer, allowing greater diurnal heating, though probabilities remain tightly matched due to uncertainty in morning stratus clearance and afternoon sea-breeze timing. Historical March averages near 72°F provide context, with current 500-mb heights 60-80 meters above normal favoring the upper end of trader bets. New 12z model outputs expected soon could sharpen resolution ahead of the daily observation at official downtown stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?
76-77°F 28%
74-75°F 24%
72-73°F 19%
78-79°F 11%
67°F or below
5%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
4%
76-77°F 28%
74-75°F 24%
72-73°F 19%
78-79°F 11%
67°F or below
5%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around mild highs of 74-77°F for Los Angeles on March 28, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF showing peaks in this range amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the Southwest. Recent 24-hour forecast refinements indicate subtle warming from offshore flow weakening the typical coastal marine layer, allowing greater diurnal heating, though probabilities remain tightly matched due to uncertainty in morning stratus clearance and afternoon sea-breeze timing. Historical March averages near 72°F provide context, with current 500-mb heights 60-80 meters above normal favoring the upper end of trader bets. New 12z model outputs expected soon could sharpen resolution ahead of the daily observation at official downtown stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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