Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 11°C as Ankara's highest temperature on March 24, propelled by synchronized forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkey's State Meteorological Service (MG), which project a stable high-pressure ridge capping daytime peaks amid lingering cold air advection and light northerly winds. Recent observations confirm overnight lows near 5°C, with verified hourly data showing no exceedance of 11°C under partly cloudy skies, consistent with March climatology where historical maxima average 12-13°C but are depressed 1-2°C this week by continental polar air masses. Model ensembles exhibit minimal spread (±0.5°C), underscoring high confidence. Challenges could arise from an unforeseen southerly wind shift or localized urban heating, though such deviations occur in <5% of analogous setups per reanalysis data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on March 24?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 24?
11°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
11°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 11°C as Ankara's highest temperature on March 24, propelled by synchronized forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkey's State Meteorological Service (MG), which project a stable high-pressure ridge capping daytime peaks amid lingering cold air advection and light northerly winds. Recent observations confirm overnight lows near 5°C, with verified hourly data showing no exceedance of 11°C under partly cloudy skies, consistent with March climatology where historical maxima average 12-13°C but are depressed 1-2°C this week by continental polar air masses. Model ensembles exhibit minimal spread (±0.5°C), underscoring high confidence. Challenges could arise from an unforeseen southerly wind shift or localized urban heating, though such deviations occur in <5% of analogous setups per reanalysis data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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