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Grok bans image generation of Trump in August?

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Grok bans image generation of Trump in August?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$90,932 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$90,932 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if X's Grok AI bans a majority of eligible, subscribed users in the United States from generating images of Donald Trump by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", Grok must refuse explicit requests to generate an image of Donald Trump. If Grok explicitly states that it is not permitted to generate an image of Trump when asked, this market will resolve to "Yes", even if users are able to bypass this block through different commands. If image generation in general by Grok is disabled within this market's timeframe, it will immediately resolve to "Yes". Periods of downtime will not count toward a "Yes" resolution to this market - this market will only resolve to "Yes" if Grok explicitly stops image generation broadly or stops generating images of Trump. The primary resolution source for this market is Grok and official information from X, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if X's Grok AI bans a majority of eligible, subscribed users in the United States from generating images of Donald Trump by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes", Grok must refuse explicit requests to generate an image of Donald Trump.

If Grok explicitly states that it is not permitted to generate an image of Trump when asked, this market will resolve to "Yes", even if users are able to bypass this block through different commands.

If image generation in general by Grok is disabled within this market's timeframe, it will immediately resolve to "Yes".

Periods of downtime will not count toward a "Yes" resolution to this market - this market will only resolve to "Yes" if Grok explicitly stops image generation broadly or stops generating images of Trump.

The primary resolution source for this market is Grok and official information from X, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$90,932
End Date
Aug 31, 2024
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2024, 8:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if X's Grok AI bans a majority of eligible, subscribed users in the United States from generating images of Donald Trump by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", Grok must refuse explicit requests to generate an image of Donald Trump. If Grok explicitly states that it is not permitted to generate an image of Trump when asked, this market will resolve to "Yes", even if users are able to bypass this block through different commands. If image generation in general by Grok is disabled within this market's timeframe, it will immediately resolve to "Yes". Periods of downtime will not count toward a "Yes" resolution to this market - this market will only resolve to "Yes" if Grok explicitly stops image generation broadly or stops generating images of Trump. The primary resolution source for this market is Grok and official information from X, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if X's Grok AI bans a majority of eligible, subscribed users in the United States from generating images of Donald Trump by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", Grok must refuse explicit requests to generate an image of Donald Trump. If Grok explicitly states that it is not permitted to generate an image of Trump when asked, this market will resolve to "Yes", even if users are able to bypass this block through different commands. If image generation in general by Grok is disabled within this market's timeframe, it will immediately resolve to "Yes". Periods of downtime will not count toward a "Yes" resolution to this market - this market will only resolve to "Yes" if Grok explicitly stops image generation broadly or stops generating images of Trump. The primary resolution source for this market is Grok and official information from X, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if X's Grok AI bans a majority of eligible, subscribed users in the United States from generating images of Donald Trump by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes", Grok must refuse explicit requests to generate an image of Donald Trump.

If Grok explicitly states that it is not permitted to generate an image of Trump when asked, this market will resolve to "Yes", even if users are able to bypass this block through different commands.

If image generation in general by Grok is disabled within this market's timeframe, it will immediately resolve to "Yes".

Periods of downtime will not count toward a "Yes" resolution to this market - this market will only resolve to "Yes" if Grok explicitly stops image generation broadly or stops generating images of Trump.

The primary resolution source for this market is Grok and official information from X, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$90,932
End Date
Aug 31, 2024
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2024, 8:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if X's Grok AI bans a majority of eligible, subscribed users in the United States from generating images of Donald Trump by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", Grok must refuse explicit requests to generate an image of Donald Trump. If Grok explicitly states that it is not permitted to generate an image of Trump when asked, this market will resolve to "Yes", even if users are able to bypass this block through different commands. If image generation in general by Grok is disabled within this market's timeframe, it will immediately resolve to "Yes". Periods of downtime will not count toward a "Yes" resolution to this market - this market will only resolve to "Yes" if Grok explicitly stops image generation broadly or stops generating images of Trump. The primary resolution source for this market is Grok and official information from X, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Grok bans image generation of Trump in August?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Grok bans image generation of Trump in August?" has generated $90.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 15, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Grok bans image generation of Trump in August?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Grok bans image generation of Trump in August?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Grok bans image generation of Trump in August?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.