Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025?
NEW
0.2% 40%
0.3% 29%
0.4% 27%
0.1% 24%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<0.0%
$44 Vol.
16%
<0.0%
$44 Vol.
16%
0.0%
$28 Vol.
22%
0.0%
$28 Vol.
22%
0.1%
$0 Vol.
24%
0.1%
$0 Vol.
24%
0.2%
$69 Vol.
40%
0.2%
$69 Vol.
40%
0.3%
$13 Vol.
29%
0.3%
$13 Vol.
29%
0.4%
$0 Vol.
27%
0.4%
$0 Vol.
27%
>0.4%
$334 Vol.
8%
>0.4%
$334 Vol.
8%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rates over the same quarter of the previous year % change, based on seasonally adjusted data, in the first release of the "Gross domestic product: detailed economic performance results" press release for Q4 of 2025, expected to be released at the end of January 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If no data for the specified quarter is released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports "on the same quarter a year earlier (price adjusted)" to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If no data for the specified quarter is released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports "on the same quarter a year earlier (price adjusted)" to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Created At: Dec 12, 2025, 10:43 PM UTC
Volume
$488Created At
Dec 12, 2025, 10:43 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NEW
Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025?
0.2% 40%
0.3% 29%
0.4% 27%
0.1% 24%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<0.0%
$44 Vol.
16%
0.0%
$28 Vol.
22%
0.1%
$0 Vol.
24%
0.2%
$69 Vol.
40%
0.3%
$13 Vol.
29%
0.4%
$0 Vol.
27%
>0.4%
$334 Vol.
8%
About
Volume
$488Created At
Dec 12, 2025, 10:43 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
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Beware of external links.
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