Israel's 39% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 televote winner reflects trader consensus on their explosive 2024 public vote triumph with Eden Golan's "Hurricane," which garnered 323 points amid geopolitical buzz, outpacing jury results and signaling enduring fan fervor despite controversies. Greece (17.5%) and Finland (17%) trail closely, buoyed by Greece's reliable diaspora-driven televotes from Australia and the UK, plus strong 2024 semis performance, while Finland rides residual hype from Käärijä's 2023 victory and Nordic streaming dominance. With 2025's Basel contest looming—featuring early favorites like France—national selection announcements could shift odds, but historical televote patterns and viral potential dominate early positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedEurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 39%
Greece 18%
Finland 16%
France 4.9%
$559,434 Vol.
$559,434 Vol.

Israel
39%

Greece
18%

Finland
16%

France
5%

Sweden
5%

Poland
4%

Moldova
3%

Ukraine
3%

Denmark
3%

Cyprus
2%

Italy
2%

Switzerland
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Australia
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Malta
1%

Belgium
1%

Romania
1%

Croatia
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Germany
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Norway
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 39%
Greece 18%
Finland 16%
France 4.9%
$559,434 Vol.
$559,434 Vol.

Israel
39%

Greece
18%

Finland
16%

France
5%

Sweden
5%

Poland
4%

Moldova
3%

Ukraine
3%

Denmark
3%

Cyprus
2%

Italy
2%

Switzerland
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Australia
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Malta
1%

Belgium
1%

Romania
1%

Croatia
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Germany
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Norway
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel's 39% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 televote winner reflects trader consensus on their explosive 2024 public vote triumph with Eden Golan's "Hurricane," which garnered 323 points amid geopolitical buzz, outpacing jury results and signaling enduring fan fervor despite controversies. Greece (17.5%) and Finland (17%) trail closely, buoyed by Greece's reliable diaspora-driven televotes from Australia and the UK, plus strong 2024 semis performance, while Finland rides residual hype from Käärijä's 2023 victory and Nordic streaming dominance. With 2025's Basel contest looming—featuring early favorites like France—national selection announcements could shift odds, but historical televote patterns and viral potential dominate early positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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