Israel's commanding 38% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 Televote Winner stems from its dominant 2024 televote triumph with Eden Golan, fueling trader confidence in the country's knack for rallying diaspora and online fan armies despite jury divides and geopolitical tensions. Greece (17.5%) and Finland (17%) trail closely, buoyed by Greece's perennial televote prowess via passionate Balkan and expatriate blocs, and Finland's lingering hype from Käärijä's 2023 near-miss that exploded on TikTok and streaming. Recent national selection teases and artist rumors have nudged these odds, but with 2025's Basel contest fresh and 2026 hosts TBD post-winner, traders eye early song reveals as the next volatility trigger amid volatile public sentiment swings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedEurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 38%
Greece 18%
Finland 17%
France 5.1%
$516,862 Vol.
$516,862 Vol.

Israel
38%

Greece
18%

Finland
17%

France
5%

Sweden
4%

Poland
4%

Moldova
3%

Ukraine
3%

Denmark
2%

Italy
2%

Cyprus
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Australia
1%

Estonia
1%

Switzerland
1%

Croatia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Malta
1%

Belgium
1%

Romania
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Germany
1%

Lithuania
<1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Norway
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 38%
Greece 18%
Finland 17%
France 5.1%
$516,862 Vol.
$516,862 Vol.

Israel
38%

Greece
18%

Finland
17%

France
5%

Sweden
4%

Poland
4%

Moldova
3%

Ukraine
3%

Denmark
2%

Italy
2%

Cyprus
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Australia
1%

Estonia
1%

Switzerland
1%

Croatia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Malta
1%

Belgium
1%

Romania
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Germany
1%

Lithuania
<1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Norway
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel's commanding 38% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 Televote Winner stems from its dominant 2024 televote triumph with Eden Golan, fueling trader confidence in the country's knack for rallying diaspora and online fan armies despite jury divides and geopolitical tensions. Greece (17.5%) and Finland (17%) trail closely, buoyed by Greece's perennial televote prowess via passionate Balkan and expatriate blocs, and Finland's lingering hype from Käärijä's 2023 near-miss that exploded on TikTok and streaming. Recent national selection teases and artist rumors have nudged these odds, but with 2025's Basel contest fresh and 2026 hosts TBD post-winner, traders eye early song reveals as the next volatility trigger amid volatile public sentiment swings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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