The Bank of Israel's Monetary Committee held its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4% in its March 30 decision, driving trader consensus to 100% on "No Change" as the outcome solidifies amid escalating geopolitical tensions from the Iran war. Persistent inflation pressures, fueled by rising energy prices and a 20% early hit to economic activity, prompted the central bank to slash its 2026 growth forecast to 3.8% from 5.2% while raising inflation projections, outweighing moderating price trends seen earlier. This follows a February hold at the same level after prior cuts. Scenarios challenging resolution—such as emergency data revisions or an unscheduled policy shift—remain highly improbable given the official announcement and stable inflation target trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedBank of Israel Decision in March?
Bank of Israel Decision in March?
No Change 100.0%
Decrease <1%
Increase <1%
$54,455 Vol.
$54,455 Vol.
Decrease
No
No Change
Yes
Increase
No
No Change 100.0%
Decrease <1%
Increase <1%
$54,455 Vol.
$54,455 Vol.
Decrease
No
No Change
Yes
Increase
No
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its March 30, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their March 30, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Jan 5, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its March 30, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their March 30, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The Bank of Israel's Monetary Committee held its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4% in its March 30 decision, driving trader consensus to 100% on "No Change" as the outcome solidifies amid escalating geopolitical tensions from the Iran war. Persistent inflation pressures, fueled by rising energy prices and a 20% early hit to economic activity, prompted the central bank to slash its 2026 growth forecast to 3.8% from 5.2% while raising inflation projections, outweighing moderating price trends seen earlier. This follows a February hold at the same level after prior cuts. Scenarios challenging resolution—such as emergency data revisions or an unscheduled policy shift—remain highly improbable given the official announcement and stable inflation target trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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