Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60.5% implied probability for Argentina's March 2026 monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) rise of 3.1–3.3%, reflecting sticky inflation pressures after February's 2.9% print exceeded economist forecasts of 2.7–2.8% and matched January's elevated rate. Administered price adjustments, including a 16% gasoline hike and regulated tariff increases, have driven recent month-on-month acceleration, offsetting Milei's austerity measures amid a sluggish economy where tax revenues lag inflation. The 32% odds on 2.8–3.0% capture hopes for stability, while lower bins reflect barriers to sharper disinflation. INDEC's official March CPI release, due mid-April, remains the key resolution catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedArgentina Monthly Inflation - March
Argentina Monthly Inflation - March
3.1–3.3% 61%
2.8–3.0% 37%
3.4–3.6% 3.6%
≤2.1% 3.5%
$20,774 Vol.
$20,774 Vol.
Apr 14, 2026
≤2.1%
3%
2.2–2.4%
<1%
2.5–2.7%
6%
2.8–3.0%
32%
3.1–3.3%
61%
3.4–3.6%
4%
3.7%+
2%
3.1–3.3% 61%
2.8–3.0% 37%
3.4–3.6% 3.6%
≤2.1% 3.5%
$20,774 Vol.
$20,774 Vol.
Apr 14, 2026
≤2.1%
$1,858 Vol.
3%
2.2–2.4%
$1,278 Vol.
<1%
2.5–2.7%
$1,584 Vol.
6%
2.8–3.0%
$2,304 Vol.
32%
3.1–3.3%
$6,509 Vol.
61%
3.4–3.6%
$2,866 Vol.
4%
3.7%+
$4,374 Vol.
2%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60.5% implied probability for Argentina's March 2026 monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) rise of 3.1–3.3%, reflecting sticky inflation pressures after February's 2.9% print exceeded economist forecasts of 2.7–2.8% and matched January's elevated rate. Administered price adjustments, including a 16% gasoline hike and regulated tariff increases, have driven recent month-on-month acceleration, offsetting Milei's austerity measures amid a sluggish economy where tax revenues lag inflation. The 32% odds on 2.8–3.0% capture hopes for stability, while lower bins reflect barriers to sharper disinflation. INDEC's official March CPI release, due mid-April, remains the key resolution catalyst.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ET
Volume
$20,774End Date
Apr 14, 2026Market Opened
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60.5% implied probability for Argentina's March 2026 monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) rise of 3.1–3.3%, reflecting sticky inflation pressures after February's 2.9% print exceeded economist forecasts of 2.7–2.8% and matched January's elevated rate. Administered price adjustments, including a 16% gasoline hike and regulated tariff increases, have driven recent month-on-month acceleration, offsetting Milei's austerity measures amid a sluggish economy where tax revenues lag inflation. The 32% odds on 2.8–3.0% capture hopes for stability, while lower bins reflect barriers to sharper disinflation. INDEC's official March CPI release, due mid-April, remains the key resolution catalyst.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$20,774End Date
Apr 14, 2026Market Opened
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60.5% implied probability for Argentina's March 2026 monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) rise of 3.1–3.3%, reflecting sticky inflation pressures after February's 2.9% print exceeded economist forecasts of 2.7–2.8% and matched January's elevated rate. Administered price adjustments, including a 16% gasoline hike and regulated tariff increases, have driven recent month-on-month acceleration, offsetting Milei's austerity measures amid a sluggish economy where tax revenues lag inflation. The 32% odds on 2.8–3.0% capture hopes for stability, while lower bins reflect barriers to sharper disinflation. INDEC's official March CPI release, due mid-April, remains the key resolution catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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