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#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?

Market icon

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?

ChatGPT 100.0%

NCAA March Madness Live <1%

Threads <1%

7-Eleven: Rewards & Shopping <1%

Polymarket

$12,725 Vol.

ChatGPT 100.0%

NCAA March Madness Live <1%

Threads <1%

7-Eleven: Rewards & Shopping <1%

Polymarket

$12,725 Vol.

Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10? icon

ChatGPT

$4,799 Vol.

Yes

Will NCAA March Madness Live be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10? icon

NCAA March Madness Live

$714 Vol.

No

Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10? icon

Threads

$546 Vol.

No

Will 7-Eleven: Rewards & Shopping be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10? icon

7-Eleven: Rewards & Shopping

$185 Vol.

No

Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10? icon

Google

$933 Vol.

No

Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10? icon

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money

$291 Vol.

No

Will MONOPOLY GO!Chat be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10? icon

MONOPOLY GO!Chat

$0 Vol.

No

Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10? icon

Google Gemini

$1,828 Vol.

No

Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10? icon

Claude by Anthropic

$3,168 Vol.

No

Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10? icon

Netflix Game Controller

$262 Vol.

No

Will The Masters Tournament be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10? icon

The Masters Tournament

$0 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Live App Store charts confirm ChatGPT as the #2 free iPhone app in the US, trailing Monopoly GO! at #1 and ahead of Claude by Anthropic at #3, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability as of April 10, 2026. This positioning stems from sustained user adoption of OpenAI's AI chatbot amid recent updates like the April 2 app refresh enhancing large language model access, coupled with explosive growth in AI app downloads—ChatGPT topped charts much of early 2026 before gaming volatility displaced it. Claude's prior #1 surges in March reflect competitive AI momentum but haven't overtaken today. With rankings updating frequently, a late-day download spike from another app, such as a viral game or rival like Google Gemini, could challenge this, though traders see minimal risk given current stability.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$12,725
End Date
Apr 10, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Live App Store charts confirm ChatGPT as the #2 free iPhone app in the US, trailing Monopoly GO! at #1 and ahead of Claude by Anthropic at #3, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability as of April 10, 2026. This positioning stems from sustained user adoption of OpenAI's AI chatbot amid recent updates like the April 2 app refresh enhancing large language model access, coupled with explosive growth in AI app downloads—ChatGPT topped charts much of early 2026 before gaming volatility displaced it. Claude's prior #1 surges in March reflect competitive AI momentum but haven't overtaken today. With rankings updating frequently, a late-day download spike from another app, such as a viral game or rival like Google Gemini, could challenge this, though traders see minimal risk given current stability.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$12,725
End Date
Apr 10, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ChatGPT" at 100%, followed by "NCAA March Madness Live" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?" has generated $12.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?" is "ChatGPT" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "NCAA March Madness Live" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.