Live App Store charts confirm ChatGPT as the #2 free iPhone app in the US, trailing Monopoly GO! at #1 and ahead of Claude by Anthropic at #3, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability as of April 10, 2026. This positioning stems from sustained user adoption of OpenAI's AI chatbot amid recent updates like the April 2 app refresh enhancing large language model access, coupled with explosive growth in AI app downloads—ChatGPT topped charts much of early 2026 before gaming volatility displaced it. Claude's prior #1 surges in March reflect competitive AI momentum but haven't overtaken today. With rankings updating frequently, a late-day download spike from another app, such as a viral game or rival like Google Gemini, could challenge this, though traders see minimal risk given current stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChatGPT 100.0%
NCAA March Madness Live <1%
Threads <1%
7-Eleven: Rewards & Shopping <1%
$12,725 Vol.
$12,725 Vol.

ChatGPT
Yes

NCAA March Madness Live
No

Threads
No

7-Eleven: Rewards & Shopping
No

No

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
No

MONOPOLY GO!Chat
No

Google Gemini
No

Claude by Anthropic
No

Netflix Game Controller
No

The Masters Tournament
No
ChatGPT 100.0%
NCAA March Madness Live <1%
Threads <1%
7-Eleven: Rewards & Shopping <1%
$12,725 Vol.
$12,725 Vol.

ChatGPT
Yes

NCAA March Madness Live
No

Threads
No

7-Eleven: Rewards & Shopping
No

No

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
No

MONOPOLY GO!Chat
No

Google Gemini
No

Claude by Anthropic
No

Netflix Game Controller
No

The Masters Tournament
No
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Live App Store charts confirm ChatGPT as the #2 free iPhone app in the US, trailing Monopoly GO! at #1 and ahead of Claude by Anthropic at #3, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability as of April 10, 2026. This positioning stems from sustained user adoption of OpenAI's AI chatbot amid recent updates like the April 2 app refresh enhancing large language model access, coupled with explosive growth in AI app downloads—ChatGPT topped charts much of early 2026 before gaming volatility displaced it. Claude's prior #1 surges in March reflect competitive AI momentum but haven't overtaken today. With rankings updating frequently, a late-day download spike from another app, such as a viral game or rival like Google Gemini, could challenge this, though traders see minimal risk given current stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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