Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance in gubernatorial races drives trader consensus at 95% for a GOP winner in the 2026 open-seat election, as incumbent Mark Gordon reaches term limits. The state legislature holds a heavy Republican supermajority, and no Democrat has won since Dave Freudenthal departed in 2011, aligning with consistent GOP landslides including Trump's 70% share in 2020. No polls or major candidate announcements have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics. Potential challenges include a divisive Republican primary on August 18, 2026, selecting a weakened nominee, a national Democratic wave, or unforeseen scandals, though structural barriers like low Democratic turnout in this deep-red state make upsets improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al gobernador de Wyoming
Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Wyoming

Republicano
95%

Demócrata
4%

Republicano
95%

Demócrata
4%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance in gubernatorial races drives trader consensus at 95% for a GOP winner in the 2026 open-seat election, as incumbent Mark Gordon reaches term limits. The state legislature holds a heavy Republican supermajority, and no Democrat has won since Dave Freudenthal departed in 2011, aligning with consistent GOP landslides including Trump's 70% share in 2020. No polls or major candidate announcements have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics. Potential challenges include a divisive Republican primary on August 18, 2026, selecting a weakened nominee, a national Democratic wave, or unforeseen scandals, though structural barriers like low Democratic turnout in this deep-red state make upsets improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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