Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Republican victory in Wyoming's 2026 gubernatorial election at 95% implied probability, driven by the state's deep Republican entrenchment—GOP voters comprise over 70% of registered voters versus 12% Democrats, with supermajorities controlling both legislative chambers. Incumbent Governor Mark Gordon (R), who won re-election in 2022 with 62% amid no competitive primary challenge, remains eligible and popular, deterring Democratic contenders amid a 46-year streak without a Democratic governor. Absent recent catalysts, this reflects historical base rates of GOP dominance in low-turnout, conservative Wyoming. Realistic challenges include a major GOP nominee scandal, economic crisis pinned on Republicans, or surge in unaffiliated turnout, with the August 2026 primary and November general election as key milestones.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al gobernador de Wyoming
Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Wyoming

Republicano
95%

Demócrata
4%

Republicano
95%

Demócrata
4%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Republican victory in Wyoming's 2026 gubernatorial election at 95% implied probability, driven by the state's deep Republican entrenchment—GOP voters comprise over 70% of registered voters versus 12% Democrats, with supermajorities controlling both legislative chambers. Incumbent Governor Mark Gordon (R), who won re-election in 2022 with 62% amid no competitive primary challenge, remains eligible and popular, deterring Democratic contenders amid a 46-year streak without a Democratic governor. Absent recent catalysts, this reflects historical base rates of GOP dominance in low-turnout, conservative Wyoming. Realistic challenges include a major GOP nominee scandal, economic crisis pinned on Republicans, or surge in unaffiliated turnout, with the August 2026 primary and November general election as key milestones.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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