The 2026 California gubernatorial primary on March 3 uses the top-two system, advancing the leading two candidates regardless of party to the November general election amid an open race, as term limits bar incumbent Gavin Newsom from seeking a third term. Former U.S. Rep. Katie Porter surged into early contention after launching her campaign on October 1, topping an Emerson College poll at 17%—ahead of Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis (14%) and ex-HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra (12%)—in a fragmented field of over a dozen Democrats including State Supt. Tony Thurmond and Atty. Gen. Rob Bonta. No candidate exceeds 20% support, underscoring high uncertainty; key upcoming catalysts include January fundraising disclosures, further high-profile entries, and refined polling as voter awareness builds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$194,808 Vol.
Elaine Culotti
94%
Eric Swalwell
72%
Steve Hilton
56%
Chad Bianco
36%
Tom Steyer
28%
Katie Porter
25%
Matt Mahan
20%
Ché Ahn
11%
Xavier Becerra
9%
Betty Yee
6%
Tony Thurmond
5%
Ethan Agarwal
5%
Ryan Tillman
5%
Sharifah Hardie
4%
Jimmy Parker
4%
Dylan Colbert
3%
Daniel Mercuri
3%
Nicki Minaj
3%
Derek Grasty
3%
Antonio Villaraigosa
2%
Leo Zacky
2%
David Serpa
2%
Javen Allen
12%
Leonard Jackson
2%
Raji Rab
2%
Carolina Buhler
2%
Kyle Langford
2%
Nicholas Thompson
2%
Butch Ware
2%
Thunder Parley
2%
Ramsey Robinson
1%
Brandon Jones
1%
Ian Calderón
1%
David Thelen
1%
Zoltan Istvan
1%
Sophia Brink
1%
$194,808 Vol.
Elaine Culotti
94%
Eric Swalwell
72%
Steve Hilton
56%
Chad Bianco
36%
Tom Steyer
28%
Katie Porter
25%
Matt Mahan
20%
Ché Ahn
11%
Xavier Becerra
9%
Betty Yee
6%
Tony Thurmond
5%
Ethan Agarwal
5%
Ryan Tillman
5%
Sharifah Hardie
4%
Jimmy Parker
4%
Dylan Colbert
3%
Daniel Mercuri
3%
Nicki Minaj
3%
Derek Grasty
3%
Antonio Villaraigosa
2%
Leo Zacky
2%
David Serpa
2%
Javen Allen
12%
Leonard Jackson
2%
Raji Rab
2%
Carolina Buhler
2%
Kyle Langford
2%
Nicholas Thompson
2%
Butch Ware
2%
Thunder Parley
2%
Ramsey Robinson
1%
Brandon Jones
1%
Ian Calderón
1%
David Thelen
1%
Zoltan Istvan
1%
Sophia Brink
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Mercado abierto: Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 California gubernatorial primary on March 3 uses the top-two system, advancing the leading two candidates regardless of party to the November general election amid an open race, as term limits bar incumbent Gavin Newsom from seeking a third term. Former U.S. Rep. Katie Porter surged into early contention after launching her campaign on October 1, topping an Emerson College poll at 17%—ahead of Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis (14%) and ex-HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra (12%)—in a fragmented field of over a dozen Democrats including State Supt. Tony Thurmond and Atty. Gen. Rob Bonta. No candidate exceeds 20% support, underscoring high uncertainty; key upcoming catalysts include January fundraising disclosures, further high-profile entries, and refined polling as voter awareness builds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes