California's top-two primary system for the March 3, 2026 gubernatorial election advances the two highest vote-getters to the general regardless of party, with term limits barring incumbent Gov. Gavin Newsom from running and tilting odds toward two Democrats in the deep-blue state. The Democratic field remains fragmented, led by Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis (17% in September UC Berkeley poll), former Senate President pro Tem Toni Atkins (12%), ex-HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra (8%), and others like Betty Yee and Tony Thurmond; no candidate exceeds 20% amid low name recognition. Republicans, including Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco, poll under 10% statewide. Traders monitor candidate announcements, fundraising reports through December 2025 filing deadline, and emerging endorsements that could consolidate support in this wide-open race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$194,826 Vol.
Elaine Culotti
94%
Eric Swalwell
72%
Steve Hilton
57%
Chad Bianco
36%
Tom Steyer
28%
Katie Porter
25%
Matt Mahan
20%
Ché Ahn
11%
Xavier Becerra
8%
Betty Yee
6%
Tony Thurmond
5%
Ethan Agarwal
5%
Ryan Tillman
5%
Sharifah Hardie
4%
Jimmy Parker
4%
Dylan Colbert
3%
Daniel Mercuri
3%
Antonio Villaraigosa
3%
Nicki Minaj
3%
Derek Grasty
3%
Leo Zacky
2%
David Serpa
2%
Javen Allen
12%
Leonard Jackson
2%
Raji Rab
2%
Carolina Buhler
2%
Kyle Langford
2%
Nicholas Thompson
2%
Butch Ware
2%
Thunder Parley
1%
Ramsey Robinson
1%
Brandon Jones
1%
Ian Calderón
1%
Zoltan Istvan
1%
David Thelen
1%
Sophia Brink
1%
$194,826 Vol.
Elaine Culotti
94%
Eric Swalwell
72%
Steve Hilton
57%
Chad Bianco
36%
Tom Steyer
28%
Katie Porter
25%
Matt Mahan
20%
Ché Ahn
11%
Xavier Becerra
8%
Betty Yee
6%
Tony Thurmond
5%
Ethan Agarwal
5%
Ryan Tillman
5%
Sharifah Hardie
4%
Jimmy Parker
4%
Dylan Colbert
3%
Daniel Mercuri
3%
Antonio Villaraigosa
3%
Nicki Minaj
3%
Derek Grasty
3%
Leo Zacky
2%
David Serpa
2%
Javen Allen
12%
Leonard Jackson
2%
Raji Rab
2%
Carolina Buhler
2%
Kyle Langford
2%
Nicholas Thompson
2%
Butch Ware
2%
Thunder Parley
1%
Ramsey Robinson
1%
Brandon Jones
1%
Ian Calderón
1%
Zoltan Istvan
1%
David Thelen
1%
Sophia Brink
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Mercado abierto: Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...California's top-two primary system for the March 3, 2026 gubernatorial election advances the two highest vote-getters to the general regardless of party, with term limits barring incumbent Gov. Gavin Newsom from running and tilting odds toward two Democrats in the deep-blue state. The Democratic field remains fragmented, led by Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis (17% in September UC Berkeley poll), former Senate President pro Tem Toni Atkins (12%), ex-HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra (8%), and others like Betty Yee and Tony Thurmond; no candidate exceeds 20% amid low name recognition. Republicans, including Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco, poll under 10% statewide. Traders monitor candidate announcements, fundraising reports through December 2025 filing deadline, and emerging endorsements that could consolidate support in this wide-open race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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