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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Bengala Occidental

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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Bengala Occidental

AITC 74%

BJP 26%

CPI <1%

CPI(M) <1%

Polymarket

$72,245 Vol.

AITC 74%

BJP 26%

CPI <1%

CPI(M) <1%

Polymarket

$72,245 Vol.

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AITC

$27,566 Vol.

74%

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BJP

$25,037 Vol.

26%

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CPI

$0 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

CPI(M)

$0 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

INC

$19,642 Vol.

<1%

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BGPM

$0 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Traders heavily favor All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) at 73.5% implied probability for winning the West Bengal Legislative Assembly, reflecting recent opinion polls like Matrize-IANS projecting 155-170 seats for AITC versus 100-115 for BJP amid a tight 43-45% to 41-43% vote share race. Incumbent Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's regional strongholds in South 24 Parganas and Hooghly bolster AITC despite anti-incumbency sentiment and BJP's demographic shift narrative. BJP released its first 144-candidate list on March 16, fielding Suvendu Adhikari against Banerjee in Bhabanipur, while AITC incorporates religious appeals into its campaign. With polling set for April 23 and 29 across 294 first-past-the-post seats, results due May 4, minor parties like CPI(M) and INC trail due to fragmented opposition votes.

Traders heavily favor All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) at 73.5% implied probability for winning the West Bengal Legislative Assembly, reflecting recent opinion polls like Matrize-IANS projecting 155-170 seats for AITC versus 100-115 for BJP amid a tight 43-45% to 41-43% vote share race. Incumbent Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's regional strongholds in South 24 Parganas and Hooghly bolster AITC despite anti-incumbency sentiment and BJP's demographic shift narrative. BJP released its first 144-candidate list on March 16, fielding Suvendu Adhikari against Banerjee in Bhabanipur, while AITC incorporates religious appeals into its campaign. With polling set for April 23 and 29 across 294 first-past-the-post seats, results due May 4, minor parties like CPI(M) and INC trail due to fragmented opposition votes.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Traders heavily favor All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) at 73.5% implied probability for winning the West Bengal Legislative Assembly, reflecting recent opinion polls like Matrize-IANS projecting 155-170 seats for AITC versus 100-115 for BJP amid a tight 43-45% to 41-43% vote share race. Incumbent Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's regional strongholds in South 24 Parganas and Hooghly bolster AITC despite anti-incumbency sentiment and BJP's demographic shift narrative. BJP released its first 144-candidate list on March 16, fielding Suvendu Adhikari against Banerjee in Bhabanipur, while AITC incorporates religious appeals into its campaign. With polling set for April 23 and 29 across 294 first-past-the-post seats, results due May 4, minor parties like CPI(M) and INC trail due to fragmented opposition votes.

Traders heavily favor All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) at 73.5% implied probability for winning the West Bengal Legislative Assembly, reflecting recent opinion polls like Matrize-IANS projecting 155-170 seats for AITC versus 100-115 for BJP amid a tight 43-45% to 41-43% vote share race. Incumbent Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's regional strongholds in South 24 Parganas and Hooghly bolster AITC despite anti-incumbency sentiment and BJP's demographic shift narrative. BJP released its first 144-candidate list on March 16, fielding Suvendu Adhikari against Banerjee in Bhabanipur, while AITC incorporates religious appeals into its campaign. With polling set for April 23 and 29 across 294 first-past-the-post seats, results due May 4, minor parties like CPI(M) and INC trail due to fragmented opposition votes.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Bengala Occidental" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "AITC" con 74%, seguido de "BJP" con 26%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 74¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 74% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Bengala Occidental" ha generado $72.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 23, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Bengala Occidental", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Bengala Occidental" es "AITC" con 74%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 74% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "BJP" con 26%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Bengala Occidental" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.