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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Rhode Island

Market icon
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Rhode Island

Elaine Pelino 32%

Robert Raimondo 8.8%

Ashley Kalus 4.7%

Jessica de la Cruz 2.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Elaine Pelino 32%

Robert Raimondo 8.8%

Ashley Kalus 4.7%

Jessica de la Cruz 2.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Elaine Pelino

$1,696 Vol.

32%

Robert Raimondo

$0 Vol.

9%

Ashley Kalus

$0 Vol.

5%

Jessica de la Cruz

$0 Vol.

2%

Aaron Guckian

$0 Vol.

36%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in Rhode Island's Republican gubernatorial primary favors Aaron Guckian at 35.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent surge in internal polls and fundraising as a Marine veteran and Trump-aligned outsider appealing to grassroots conservatives. Elaine Pelino holds close at 27.5%, buoyed by her role as state GOP committeewoman and endorsements from party insiders emphasizing her legislative experience. The fragmented field, with Robert Raimondo at 8.3% and others trailing, keeps the race tight ahead of the September 10 primary, where low GOP turnout in deep-blue Rhode Island amplifies the impact of late endorsements, candidate forums, or a potential Trump statement. A breakout debate performance or consolidated support could create separation among top contenders.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$1,696
Fecha de finalización
Sep 8, 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 10, 2025, 11:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in Rhode Island's Republican gubernatorial primary favors Aaron Guckian at 35.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent surge in internal polls and fundraising as a Marine veteran and Trump-aligned outsider appealing to grassroots conservatives. Elaine Pelino holds close at 27.5%, buoyed by her role as state GOP committeewoman and endorsements from party insiders emphasizing her legislative experience. The fragmented field, with Robert Raimondo at 8.3% and others trailing, keeps the race tight ahead of the September 10 primary, where low GOP turnout in deep-blue Rhode Island amplifies the impact of late endorsements, candidate forums, or a potential Trump statement. A breakout debate performance or consolidated support could create separation among top contenders.

Trader consensus in Rhode Island's Republican gubernatorial primary favors Aaron Guckian at 35.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent surge in internal polls and fundraising as a Marine veteran and Trump-aligned outsider appealing to grassroots conservatives. Elaine Pelino holds close at 27.5%, buoyed by her role as state GOP committeewoman and endorsements from party insiders emphasizing her legislative experience. The fragmented field, with Robert Raimondo at 8.3% and others trailing, keeps the race tight ahead of the September 10 primary, where low GOP turnout in deep-blue Rhode Island amplifies the impact of late endorsements, candidate forums, or a potential Trump statement. A breakout debate performance or consolidated support could create separation among top contenders.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Rhode Island" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Aaron Guckian" con 36%, seguido de "Elaine Pelino" con 32%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 36¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Rhode Island" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Dec 11, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Rhode Island", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Rhode Island" es "Aaron Guckian" con 36%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Elaine Pelino" con 32%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Rhode Island" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.