Market icon
Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028

Market icon
Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028

JD Vance 17.4%

Gavin Newsom 17.1%

Marco Rubio 10.2%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5.9%

Polymarket

$471,444,885 Vol.

JD Vance 17.4%

Gavin Newsom 17.1%

Marco Rubio 10.2%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5.9%

Polymarket

$471,444,885 Vol.

Market icon

JD Vance

$9,133,680 Vol.

17%

Market icon

Gavin Newsom

$6,721,922 Vol.

17%

Market icon

Marco Rubio

$5,302,552 Vol.

10%

Market icon

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$10,377,289 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Jon Ossoff

$2,957,246 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Kamala Harris

$6,489,759 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Tucker Carlson

$9,342,460 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Josh Shapiro

$5,313,994 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Donald Trump

$6,439,616 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Pete Buttigieg

$3,441,374 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Título del grupo: Andy Beshear

$15,009,533 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Ron DeSantis

$5,802,378 Vol.

2%

Market icon

JB Pritzker

$9,475,873 Vol.

1%

Market icon

James Talarico

$3,753,797 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$5,607,636 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Ivanka Trump

$3,994,932 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Jamie Dimon

$7,069,811 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Michelle Obama

$13,219,327 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Gretchen Whitmer

$7,650,674 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Greg Abbott

$31,351,716 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Elon Musk

$21,961,418 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Wes Moore

$5,558,122 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Donald Trump Jr.

$8,367,649 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Nikki Haley

$21,020,074 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Ro Khanna

$5,639,440 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Thomas Massie

$3,293,364 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tim Walz

$38,407,226 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Glenn Youngkin

$19,760,104 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Stephen Smith

$28,158,899 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tulsi Gabbard

$27,119,586 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Vivek Ramaswamy

$28,914,660 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Zohran Mamdani

$16,283,747 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Eric Trump

$5,033,345 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Pete Hegseth

$1,918,695 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Kim Kardashian

$29,034,086 Vol.

1%

Market icon

LeBron James

$42,519,188 Vol.

<1%

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge over California Governor Gavin Newsom in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election, driven by his dominant win in the March 28 CPAC straw poll—securing 53% support for the GOP nomination in his second straight victory there—while Marco Rubio surges to second at around 24% in related markets. Newsom remains neck-and-neck, bolstered by recent California Democratic primary polls showing him trouncing Kamala Harris and tying for second in a New Hampshire survey. This tight race reflects early positioning ahead of 2026 midterms, with Vance benefiting from incumbent VP visibility and party loyalty, versus Democrats' open primary field; separation could emerge from midterm outcomes, national polling shifts, fundraising tallies, or scandals before 2028 primaries.

Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge over California Governor Gavin Newsom in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election, driven by his dominant win in the March 28 CPAC straw poll—securing 53% support for the GOP nomination in his second straight victory there—while Marco Rubio surges to second at around 24% in related markets. Newsom remains neck-and-neck, bolstered by recent California Democratic primary polls showing him trouncing Kamala Harris and tying for second in a New Hampshire survey. This tight race reflects early positioning ahead of 2026 midterms, with Vance benefiting from incumbent VP visibility and party loyalty, versus Democrats' open primary field; separation could emerge from midterm outcomes, national polling shifts, fundraising tallies, or scandals before 2028 primaries.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge over California Governor Gavin Newsom in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election, driven by his dominant win in the March 28 CPAC straw poll—securing 53% support for the GOP nomination in his second straight victory there—while Marco Rubio surges to second at around 24% in related markets. Newsom remains neck-and-neck, bolstered by recent California Democratic primary polls showing him trouncing Kamala Harris and tying for second in a New Hampshire survey. This tight race reflects early positioning ahead of 2026 midterms, with Vance benefiting from incumbent VP visibility and party loyalty, versus Democrats' open primary field; separation could emerge from midterm outcomes, national polling shifts, fundraising tallies, or scandals before 2028 primaries.

Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge over California Governor Gavin Newsom in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election, driven by his dominant win in the March 28 CPAC straw poll—securing 53% support for the GOP nomination in his second straight victory there—while Marco Rubio surges to second at around 24% in related markets. Newsom remains neck-and-neck, bolstered by recent California Democratic primary polls showing him trouncing Kamala Harris and tying for second in a New Hampshire survey. This tight race reflects early positioning ahead of 2026 midterms, with Vance benefiting from incumbent VP visibility and party loyalty, versus Democrats' open primary field; separation could emerge from midterm outcomes, national polling shifts, fundraising tallies, or scandals before 2028 primaries.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 36 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "JD Vance" con 17%, seguido de "Gavin Newsom" con 17%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 17¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 17% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028" ha generado $471.4 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028", explora los 36 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028" es "JD Vance" con 17%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 17% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Gavin Newsom" con 17%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.