Democratic incumbent Dwight Evans holds a commanding lead in Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, a reliably blue seat with a strong Democratic partisan lean, driving trader consensus to 94% for the Democratic Party outcome. Recent polling averages show Evans ahead by margins exceeding 30 points against Republican challenger Bryan Holman, bolstered by the district's urban Philadelphia base, high Democratic turnout in early voting, and Evans' fundraising dominance with over $1 million raised. No major scandals or shifts have emerged in the past month, reinforcing incumbency advantages and historical win rates above 70% for Democrats here. While improbable, a late Republican surge via unexpected turnout collapse or October surprise could challenge this, though structural factors like the district's D+33 Cook PVI favor resolution for Democrats post-November 5 election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoPA-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
PA-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
$0 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Dwight Evans holds a commanding lead in Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, a reliably blue seat with a strong Democratic partisan lean, driving trader consensus to 94% for the Democratic Party outcome. Recent polling averages show Evans ahead by margins exceeding 30 points against Republican challenger Bryan Holman, bolstered by the district's urban Philadelphia base, high Democratic turnout in early voting, and Evans' fundraising dominance with over $1 million raised. No major scandals or shifts have emerged in the past month, reinforcing incumbency advantages and historical win rates above 70% for Democrats here. While improbable, a late Republican surge via unexpected turnout collapse or October surprise could challenge this, though structural factors like the district's D+33 Cook PVI favor resolution for Democrats post-November 5 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Dwight Evans holds a commanding lead in Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, a reliably blue seat with a strong Democratic partisan lean, driving trader consensus to 94% for the Democratic Party outcome. Recent polling averages show Evans ahead by margins exceeding 30 points against Republican challenger Bryan Holman, bolstered by the district's urban Philadelphia base, high Democratic turnout in early voting, and Evans' fundraising dominance with over $1 million raised. No major scandals or shifts have emerged in the past month, reinforcing incumbency advantages and historical win rates above 70% for Democrats here. While improbable, a late Republican surge via unexpected turnout collapse or October surprise could challenge this, though structural factors like the district's D+33 Cook PVI favor resolution for Democrats post-November 5 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Dwight Evans holds a commanding lead in Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, a reliably blue seat with a strong Democratic partisan lean, driving trader consensus to 94% for the Democratic Party outcome. Recent polling averages show Evans ahead by margins exceeding 30 points against Republican challenger Bryan Holman, bolstered by the district's urban Philadelphia base, high Democratic turnout in early voting, and Evans' fundraising dominance with over $1 million raised. No major scandals or shifts have emerged in the past month, reinforcing incumbency advantages and historical win rates above 70% for Democrats here. While improbable, a late Republican surge via unexpected turnout collapse or October surprise could challenge this, though structural factors like the district's D+33 Cook PVI favor resolution for Democrats post-November 5 election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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