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Elecciones·Colombia

# de escaños ganados por PH en las elecciones al Senado de Colombia?

Market icon
Elecciones·Colombia

# de escaños ganados por PH en las elecciones al Senado de Colombia?

24-26 96.6%

27-29 4.0%

21-23 1.0%

<18 <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

24-26 96.6%

27-29 4.0%

21-23 1.0%

<18 <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

<18

$0 Vol.

<1%

18-20

$0 Vol.

<1%

21-23

$0 Vol.

1%

24-26

$0 Vol.

97%

27-29

$0 Vol.

4%

Más de 30

$0 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
Mar 8, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 5, 2026, 12:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices Pacto Histórico (PH) at 24-26 seats in Colombia's 2026 Senate election (96.7% implied probability), driven by consistent national polling averages over the past month showing PH's vote share steady at 22-25%—translating directly to 24-26 of 108 proportional representation seats based on recent Invamer and Datexco surveys. No major catalysts have emerged in the last 30 days, with President Petro's approval ratings holding flat amid stalled reforms and steady opposition consolidation, reinforcing the baseline projection from PH's 2022 performance of 20 seats. This commanding position could be challenged by late-breaking scandals, economic shocks like inflation spikes, high-profile defections, or a center-right surge in pre-campaign momentum ahead of the March 8 vote.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"# de escaños ganados por PH en las elecciones al Senado de Colombia?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "24-26" con 97%, seguido de "27-29" con 4%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 97¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 97% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"# de escaños ganados por PH en las elecciones al Senado de Colombia?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 5, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "# de escaños ganados por PH en las elecciones al Senado de Colombia?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "# de escaños ganados por PH en las elecciones al Senado de Colombia?" es "24-26" con 97%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 97% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "27-29" con 4%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "# de escaños ganados por PH en las elecciones al Senado de Colombia?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.