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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Nuevo México

Market icon
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Nuevo México

Deb Haaland 76%

Sam Bregman 21%

Ken Miyagishima <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Deb Haaland 76%

Sam Bregman 21%

Ken Miyagishima <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Deb Haaland

$7,387 Vol.

76%

Sam Bregman

$0 Vol.

18%

Ken Miyagishima

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Deb Haaland leads Polymarket trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability to win the New Mexico Democratic gubernatorial primary, reflecting her strong name recognition as U.S. Interior Secretary, former U.S. Representative from the state, and appeal to key voting blocs including Native American communities amid an open seat following Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham's term limits. Recent polling aggregates, such as a mid-July Emerson College survey showing Haaland at 36% support, bolsters her position over challengers, while Sam Bregman's 18.5% share stems from his profile as Bernalillo County District Attorney and early fundraising efforts targeting urban voters in Albuquerque. Ken Miyagishima trails at 0.3% despite his tenure as Las Cruces mayor, lacking statewide momentum. Traders eye candidate filing deadlines in early 2026 and potential Haaland announcement as key catalysts ahead of the June primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$7,387
Fecha de finalización
Jun 2, 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Deb Haaland leads Polymarket trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability to win the New Mexico Democratic gubernatorial primary, reflecting her strong name recognition as U.S. Interior Secretary, former U.S. Representative from the state, and appeal to key voting blocs including Native American communities amid an open seat following Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham's term limits. Recent polling aggregates, such as a mid-July Emerson College survey showing Haaland at 36% support, bolsters her position over challengers, while Sam Bregman's 18.5% share stems from his profile as Bernalillo County District Attorney and early fundraising efforts targeting urban voters in Albuquerque. Ken Miyagishima trails at 0.3% despite his tenure as Las Cruces mayor, lacking statewide momentum. Traders eye candidate filing deadlines in early 2026 and potential Haaland announcement as key catalysts ahead of the June primary.

Deb Haaland leads Polymarket trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability to win the New Mexico Democratic gubernatorial primary, reflecting her strong name recognition as U.S. Interior Secretary, former U.S. Representative from the state, and appeal to key voting blocs including Native American communities amid an open seat following Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham's term limits. Recent polling aggregates, such as a mid-July Emerson College survey showing Haaland at 36% support, bolsters her position over challengers, while Sam Bregman's 18.5% share stems from his profile as Bernalillo County District Attorney and early fundraising efforts targeting urban voters in Albuquerque. Ken Miyagishima trails at 0.3% despite his tenure as Las Cruces mayor, lacking statewide momentum. Traders eye candidate filing deadlines in early 2026 and potential Haaland announcement as key catalysts ahead of the June primary.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Nuevo México" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Deb Haaland" con 76%, seguido de "Sam Bregman" con 18%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 76¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 76% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Nuevo México" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Dec 4, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Nuevo México", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Nuevo México" es "Deb Haaland" con 76%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 76% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Sam Bregman" con 18%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Nuevo México" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.