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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$936,272,619 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$936,272,619 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,560,273 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,131,806 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,845,849 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,663,980 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,469,734 Vol.

4%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Josh Shapiro

$5,874,803 Vol.

4%

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Jon Stewart

$9,853,647 Vol.

2%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Andy Beshear

$6,145,677 Vol.

2%

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James Talarico

$3,571,876 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,665,608 Vol.

2%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Mark Kelly

$10,980,318 Vol.

2%

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Rubén Gallego

$3,553,358 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,487,004 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,211,275 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,153,821 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Michelle Obama

$21,387,529 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,170,563 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,137,303 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,800,150 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Oprah Winfrey

$43,237,086 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,685,762 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,704,465 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,929,987 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Liz Cheney

$32,058,665 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Zohran Mamdani

$32,982,049 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,370,974 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,395,570 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,660,803 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,303,963 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,181,045 Vol.

1%

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Tedtulo del edtem del grupo: Kim Kardashian

$32,840,307 Vol.

1%

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Título del grupo: Jared Polis

$19,310,004 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,525,286 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,183,278 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,359,540 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,653,693 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,459,058 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$41,994,015 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,392,800 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,408,955 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Jasmine Crockett

$22,371,104 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem de grupo: Raphael Warnock

$24,509,408 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,650,676 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,447,237 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24.3% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a March 12 POLITICO poll showing him leading Kamala Harris by 14 points in a California primary matchup and his March 15 SXSW remarks tying a potential run to Democratic House gains in the 2026 midterms. His national book tour in early primary states like New Hampshire has boosted visibility. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.2% on progressive appeal and youth, while Jon Ossoff's 5.7% reflects Georgia battleground success. The fragmented field, with no outcome above 25%, could consolidate around 2026 midterm results, fundraising prowess, party endorsements, or standout policy leadership amid an open primary path.

California Governor Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24.3% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a March 12 POLITICO poll showing him leading Kamala Harris by 14 points in a California primary matchup and his March 15 SXSW remarks tying a potential run to Democratic House gains in the 2026 midterms. His national book tour in early primary states like New Hampshire has boosted visibility. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.2% on progressive appeal and youth, while Jon Ossoff's 5.7% reflects Georgia battleground success. The fragmented field, with no outcome above 25%, could consolidate around 2026 midterm results, fundraising prowess, party endorsements, or standout policy leadership amid an open primary path.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24.3% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a March 12 POLITICO poll showing him leading Kamala Harris by 14 points in a California primary matchup and his March 15 SXSW remarks tying a potential run to Democratic House gains in the 2026 midterms. His national book tour in early primary states like New Hampshire has boosted visibility. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.2% on progressive appeal and youth, while Jon Ossoff's 5.7% reflects Georgia battleground success. The fragmented field, with no outcome above 25%, could consolidate around 2026 midterm results, fundraising prowess, party endorsements, or standout policy leadership amid an open primary path.

California Governor Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24.3% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a March 12 POLITICO poll showing him leading Kamala Harris by 14 points in a California primary matchup and his March 15 SXSW remarks tying a potential run to Democratic House gains in the 2026 midterms. His national book tour in early primary states like New Hampshire has boosted visibility. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.2% on progressive appeal and youth, while Jon Ossoff's 5.7% reflects Georgia battleground success. The fragmented field, with no outcome above 25%, could consolidate around 2026 midterm results, fundraising prowess, party endorsements, or standout policy leadership amid an open primary path.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 44+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Gavin Newsom" con 24%, seguido de "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 24¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" ha generado $936.3 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028", explora los 44+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es "Gavin Newsom" con 24%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.