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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.6%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

Polymarket

$936,671,787 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.6%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

Polymarket

$936,671,787 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,572,397 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,133,693 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,846,561 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,670,661 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,476,235 Vol.

4%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Josh Shapiro

$5,875,614 Vol.

4%

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James Talarico

$3,609,452 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$9,856,849 Vol.

2%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Andy Beshear

$6,155,134 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,667,650 Vol.

2%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Mark Kelly

$10,990,345 Vol.

2%

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Rubén Gallego

$3,553,368 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,487,004 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,212,550 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,155,103 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Michelle Obama

$21,402,438 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,143,981 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,811,480 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Oprah Winfrey

$43,246,661 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,220,139 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,702,070 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,728,321 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,945,312 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Liz Cheney

$32,058,776 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Zohran Mamdani

$32,986,237 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,384,356 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,396,848 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,670,157 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,321,178 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,192,210 Vol.

1%

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Tedtulo del edtem del grupo: Kim Kardashian

$32,843,365 Vol.

1%

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Título del grupo: Jared Polis

$19,318,646 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,534,469 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,185,756 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,375,513 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,717,198 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,466,094 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$41,997,263 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,395,361 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,414,011 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Jasmine Crockett

$22,376,635 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem de grupo: Raphael Warnock

$24,522,048 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,660,919 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,451,760 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Gov. Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by a March POLITICO poll showing him leading Kamala Harris by 14 points in their home-state primary, alongside his surging national profile from a book tour, podcast engagements with conservatives, and vocal opposition to Trump administration policies amid rising social media followings. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8%, buoyed by February's Munich Security Conference appearances highlighting her populist appeal against figures like JD Vance, appealing to younger and progressive voters. Sen. Jon Ossoff's 6% reflects Georgia's battleground status. With no clear frontrunner in this wide-open field ahead of 2026 midterms, consolidation could hinge on gubernatorial wins, fundraising hauls, early endorsements, and polling in swing states like Pennsylvania and Michigan.

California Gov. Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by a March POLITICO poll showing him leading Kamala Harris by 14 points in their home-state primary, alongside his surging national profile from a book tour, podcast engagements with conservatives, and vocal opposition to Trump administration policies amid rising social media followings. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8%, buoyed by February's Munich Security Conference appearances highlighting her populist appeal against figures like JD Vance, appealing to younger and progressive voters. Sen. Jon Ossoff's 6% reflects Georgia's battleground status. With no clear frontrunner in this wide-open field ahead of 2026 midterms, consolidation could hinge on gubernatorial wins, fundraising hauls, early endorsements, and polling in swing states like Pennsylvania and Michigan.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Gov. Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by a March POLITICO poll showing him leading Kamala Harris by 14 points in their home-state primary, alongside his surging national profile from a book tour, podcast engagements with conservatives, and vocal opposition to Trump administration policies amid rising social media followings. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8%, buoyed by February's Munich Security Conference appearances highlighting her populist appeal against figures like JD Vance, appealing to younger and progressive voters. Sen. Jon Ossoff's 6% reflects Georgia's battleground status. With no clear frontrunner in this wide-open field ahead of 2026 midterms, consolidation could hinge on gubernatorial wins, fundraising hauls, early endorsements, and polling in swing states like Pennsylvania and Michigan.

California Gov. Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by a March POLITICO poll showing him leading Kamala Harris by 14 points in their home-state primary, alongside his surging national profile from a book tour, podcast engagements with conservatives, and vocal opposition to Trump administration policies amid rising social media followings. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8%, buoyed by February's Munich Security Conference appearances highlighting her populist appeal against figures like JD Vance, appealing to younger and progressive voters. Sen. Jon Ossoff's 6% reflects Georgia's battleground status. With no clear frontrunner in this wide-open field ahead of 2026 midterms, consolidation could hinge on gubernatorial wins, fundraising hauls, early endorsements, and polling in swing states like Pennsylvania and Michigan.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 44+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Gavin Newsom" con 24%, seguido de "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 24¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" ha generado $936.7 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028", explora los 44+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es "Gavin Newsom" con 24%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.