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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.6%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$936,466,009 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.6%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$936,466,009 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,567,143 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,132,829 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,846,525 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,670,274 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,472,632 Vol.

4%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Josh Shapiro

$5,875,386 Vol.

4%

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James Talarico

$3,608,944 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,666,541 Vol.

2%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Andy Beshear

$6,151,916 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$9,855,966 Vol.

2%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Mark Kelly

$10,984,343 Vol.

2%

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Rubén Gallego

$3,553,358 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,487,004 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,211,503 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,154,027 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Michelle Obama

$21,392,445 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,141,349 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,183,619 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,805,588 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Oprah Winfrey

$43,241,219 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,690,657 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,717,190 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,940,660 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Liz Cheney

$32,058,752 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Zohran Mamdani

$32,982,201 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,376,897 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,395,719 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,665,259 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,310,641 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,185,978 Vol.

1%

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Tedtulo del edtem del grupo: Kim Kardashian

$32,841,228 Vol.

1%

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Título del grupo: Jared Polis

$19,314,925 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,525,432 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,185,260 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,361,044 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,659,265 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,463,670 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$41,996,771 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,393,653 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,413,476 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Jasmine Crockett

$22,372,846 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem de grupo: Raphael Warnock

$24,511,025 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,653,680 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,449,352 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination following March 20 LA Times/UC Berkeley polling showing him topping Kamala Harris by double digits among California Democrats, tying for second in Emerson's New Hampshire survey, and his March 24 POLITICO interview urging Democrats to get "more ruthless" against Trump-era policies. This wide-open post-2024 primary field lacks declared candidates, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8% buoyed by progressive youth appeal amid centrist pushback from groups like Third Way and South Carolina strategists, and Jon Ossoff at 6% gaining from Georgia battleground incumbency and anti-Trump viral moments. Key differentiators include Newsom's executive record and fundraising prowess, AOC's grassroots mobilization, and Ossoff's swing-state viability; consolidation may hinge on 2026 midterm gains, donor support, or early Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary polling.

Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination following March 20 LA Times/UC Berkeley polling showing him topping Kamala Harris by double digits among California Democrats, tying for second in Emerson's New Hampshire survey, and his March 24 POLITICO interview urging Democrats to get "more ruthless" against Trump-era policies. This wide-open post-2024 primary field lacks declared candidates, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8% buoyed by progressive youth appeal amid centrist pushback from groups like Third Way and South Carolina strategists, and Jon Ossoff at 6% gaining from Georgia battleground incumbency and anti-Trump viral moments. Key differentiators include Newsom's executive record and fundraising prowess, AOC's grassroots mobilization, and Ossoff's swing-state viability; consolidation may hinge on 2026 midterm gains, donor support, or early Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary polling.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination following March 20 LA Times/UC Berkeley polling showing him topping Kamala Harris by double digits among California Democrats, tying for second in Emerson's New Hampshire survey, and his March 24 POLITICO interview urging Democrats to get "more ruthless" against Trump-era policies. This wide-open post-2024 primary field lacks declared candidates, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8% buoyed by progressive youth appeal amid centrist pushback from groups like Third Way and South Carolina strategists, and Jon Ossoff at 6% gaining from Georgia battleground incumbency and anti-Trump viral moments. Key differentiators include Newsom's executive record and fundraising prowess, AOC's grassroots mobilization, and Ossoff's swing-state viability; consolidation may hinge on 2026 midterm gains, donor support, or early Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary polling.

Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination following March 20 LA Times/UC Berkeley polling showing him topping Kamala Harris by double digits among California Democrats, tying for second in Emerson's New Hampshire survey, and his March 24 POLITICO interview urging Democrats to get "more ruthless" against Trump-era policies. This wide-open post-2024 primary field lacks declared candidates, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8% buoyed by progressive youth appeal amid centrist pushback from groups like Third Way and South Carolina strategists, and Jon Ossoff at 6% gaining from Georgia battleground incumbency and anti-Trump viral moments. Key differentiators include Newsom's executive record and fundraising prowess, AOC's grassroots mobilization, and Ossoff's swing-state viability; consolidation may hinge on 2026 midterm gains, donor support, or early Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary polling.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 44+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Gavin Newsom" con 24%, seguido de "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 24¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" ha generado $936.5 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028", explora los 44+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es "Gavin Newsom" con 24%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.