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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

Market icon
Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.2%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.8%

Jon Ossoff 5.5%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

Polymarket

$951,119,277 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.2%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.8%

Jon Ossoff 5.5%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

Polymarket

$951,119,277 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$17,094,192 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,289,237 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$6,094,293 Vol.

5%

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Kamala Harris

$8,844,267 Vol.

5%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Josh Shapiro

$5,994,802 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,595,272 Vol.

4%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,944,275 Vol.

2%

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James Talarico

$4,376,230 Vol.

2%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Andy Beshear

$6,510,651 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$10,500,232 Vol.

2%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Mark Kelly

$11,412,134 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,579,646 Vol.

2%

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Rubén Gallego

$3,671,897 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,666,842 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,303,128 Vol.

2%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Michelle Obama

$21,946,318 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$14,013,803 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Oprah Winfrey

$43,371,479 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,468,068 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,230,871 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,925,557 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,848,838 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$17,084,270 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Zohran Mamdani

$33,168,480 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,719,169 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,446,989 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,496,312 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Liz Cheney

$32,942,542 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$42,869,234 Vol.

1%

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Título del grupo: Jared Polis

$19,639,320 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,786,496 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,478,451 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,914,644 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,730,517 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,637,460 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem de grupo: Raphael Warnock

$25,423,767 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$26,135,890 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,718,370 Vol.

1%

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Tedtulo del edtem del grupo: Kim Kardashian

$33,341,831 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,609,960 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,651,897 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Jasmine Crockett

$22,607,803 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$39,158,159 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,889,559 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a March 12 Politico poll showing him trouncing Kamala Harris in their home-state primary matchup amid his ongoing book tour and pointed critiques of the Trump administration. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on her progressive grassroots energy and youth appeal, while Jon Ossoff's 5.5% reflects buzz from his viral anti-Trump Senate speech earlier this month. The fragmented field underscores post-2024 uncertainty, with no clear frontrunner beyond Newsom's fundraising prowess from the nation's largest state. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm results, donor commitments, and endorsements from party leaders during the invisible primary.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$951,119,277
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a March 12 Politico poll showing him trouncing Kamala Harris in their home-state primary matchup amid his ongoing book tour and pointed critiques of the Trump administration. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on her progressive grassroots energy and youth appeal, while Jon Ossoff's 5.5% reflects buzz from his viral anti-Trump Senate speech earlier this month. The fragmented field underscores post-2024 uncertainty, with no clear frontrunner beyond Newsom's fundraising prowess from the nation's largest state. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm results, donor commitments, and endorsements from party leaders during the invisible primary.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$951,119,277
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 44+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Gavin Newsom" con 24%, seguido de "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 24¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" ha generado $951.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028", explora los 44+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es "Gavin Newsom" con 24%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.