Market icon
Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

Market icon
Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.0%

Jon Ossoff 5.5%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$946,700,977 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.0%

Jon Ossoff 5.5%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$946,700,977 Vol.

Market icon

Gavin Newsom

$17,017,849 Vol.

24%

Market icon

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,247,810 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Jon Ossoff

$5,948,199 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Kamala Harris

$8,789,923 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Josh Shapiro

$5,981,450 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Pete Buttigieg

$9,583,435 Vol.

4%

Market icon

James Talarico

$4,221,577 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Andy Beshear

$6,469,254 Vol.

2%

Market icon

J.B. Pritzker

$11,800,155 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Jon Stewart

$10,303,204 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Mark Kelly

$11,234,890 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Rubén Gallego

$3,653,813 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Wes Moore

$13,653,279 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Gretchen Whitmer

$7,300,618 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Ro Khanna

$4,430,941 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Michelle Obama

$21,704,184 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Stephen A. Smith

$13,971,838 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Oprah Winfrey

$43,354,388 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Cory Booker

$21,465,810 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Rahm Emanuel

$11,214,855 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Mark Cuban

$17,908,414 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,831,525 Vol.

1%

Market icon

John Fetterman

$17,082,784 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chelsea Clinton

$44,704,056 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chris Murphy

$11,442,795 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Zohran Mamdani

$33,132,918 Vol.

1%

Market icon

George Clooney

$37,441,210 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Liz Cheney

$32,730,066 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Título del grupo: Jared Polis

$19,555,840 Vol.

1%

Market icon

LeBron James

$38,751,520 Vol.

1%

Market icon

MrBeast

$35,348,732 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Roy Cooper

$24,871,843 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Hillary Clinton

$37,570,552 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Gina Raimondo

$27,533,534 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Barack Obama

$25,991,005 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tim Walz

$36,657,938 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Andrew Yang

$42,508,104 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tedtulo del edtem del grupo: Kim Kardashian

$33,058,135 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Phil Murphy

$33,573,010 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Hunter Biden

$31,600,135 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Jasmine Crockett

$22,571,340 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Título del ítem de grupo: Raphael Warnock

$24,741,200 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Bernie Sanders

$39,044,669 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Beto O’Rourke

$31,790,319 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a March 12 Politico poll showing him leading Kamala Harris by 14 points in a California primary matchup and his March 15 South by Southwest remarks hinting at a national bid amid book tours in early primary states like New Hampshire. In this wide-open post-2024 field, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8% energizes progressives with her media savvy and fundraising prowess, while Jon Ossoff at 5.5% gains from his youth and Georgia battleground appeal; governors Josh Shapiro and Andy Beshear differentiate via swing-state executive records. Support could consolidate around 2026 midterm performers with superior national polling, donor networks, and party endorsements as the primary calendar nears.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$946,700,977
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a March 12 Politico poll showing him leading Kamala Harris by 14 points in a California primary matchup and his March 15 South by Southwest remarks hinting at a national bid amid book tours in early primary states like New Hampshire. In this wide-open post-2024 field, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8% energizes progressives with her media savvy and fundraising prowess, while Jon Ossoff at 5.5% gains from his youth and Georgia battleground appeal; governors Josh Shapiro and Andy Beshear differentiate via swing-state executive records. Support could consolidate around 2026 midterm performers with superior national polling, donor networks, and party endorsements as the primary calendar nears.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$946,700,977
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 44+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Gavin Newsom" con 24%, seguido de "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 24¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" ha generado $946.7 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028", explora los 44+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es "Gavin Newsom" con 24%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.