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Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

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Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.0%

Jon Ossoff 5.5%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$946,700,977 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.0%

Jon Ossoff 5.5%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$946,700,977 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$17,017,849 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,247,810 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,948,199 Vol.

5%

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Kamala Harris

$8,789,923 Vol.

4%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Josh Shapiro

$5,981,450 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,583,435 Vol.

4%

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James Talarico

$4,221,577 Vol.

3%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Andy Beshear

$6,469,254 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,800,155 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$10,303,204 Vol.

2%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Mark Kelly

$11,234,890 Vol.

2%

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Rubén Gallego

$3,653,813 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,653,279 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,300,618 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,430,941 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Michelle Obama

$21,704,184 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,971,838 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Oprah Winfrey

$43,354,388 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,465,810 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,214,855 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,908,414 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,831,525 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$17,082,784 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,704,056 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,442,795 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Zohran Mamdani

$33,132,918 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,441,210 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Liz Cheney

$32,730,066 Vol.

1%

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Título del grupo: Jared Polis

$19,555,840 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,751,520 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,348,732 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,871,843 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,570,552 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,533,534 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,991,005 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,657,938 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$42,508,104 Vol.

1%

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Tedtulo del edtem del grupo: Kim Kardashian

$33,058,135 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,573,010 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,600,135 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Jasmine Crockett

$22,571,340 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem de grupo: Raphael Warnock

$24,741,200 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$39,044,669 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,790,319 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a March 12 Politico poll showing him leading Kamala Harris by 14 points in a California primary matchup and his March 15 South by Southwest remarks hinting at a national bid amid book tours in early primary states like New Hampshire. In this wide-open post-2024 field, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8% energizes progressives with her media savvy and fundraising prowess, while Jon Ossoff at 5.5% gains from his youth and Georgia battleground appeal; governors Josh Shapiro and Andy Beshear differentiate via swing-state executive records. Support could consolidate around 2026 midterm performers with superior national polling, donor networks, and party endorsements as the primary calendar nears.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$946,700,977
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a March 12 Politico poll showing him leading Kamala Harris by 14 points in a California primary matchup and his March 15 South by Southwest remarks hinting at a national bid amid book tours in early primary states like New Hampshire. In this wide-open post-2024 field, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8% energizes progressives with her media savvy and fundraising prowess, while Jon Ossoff at 5.5% gains from his youth and Georgia battleground appeal; governors Josh Shapiro and Andy Beshear differentiate via swing-state executive records. Support could consolidate around 2026 midterm performers with superior national polling, donor networks, and party endorsements as the primary calendar nears.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$946,700,977
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 44+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Gavin Newsom" con 24%, seguido de "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 24¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" ha generado $946.7 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028", explora los 44+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es "Gavin Newsom" con 24%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.