California Governor Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a March 12 Politico poll showing him trouncing Kamala Harris in their home-state primary matchup amid his ongoing book tour and pointed critiques of the Trump administration. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on her progressive grassroots energy and youth appeal, while Jon Ossoff's 5.5% reflects buzz from his viral anti-Trump Senate speech earlier this month. The fragmented field underscores post-2024 uncertainty, with no clear frontrunner beyond Newsom's fundraising prowess from the nation's largest state. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm results, donor commitments, and endorsements from party leaders during the invisible primary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoCandidato presidencial demócrata 2028
Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028
Gavin Newsom 24.2%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.8%
Jon Ossoff 5.5%
Kamala Harris 4.5%
$951,119,277 Vol.
$951,119,277 Vol.

Gavin Newsom
24%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%

Jon Ossoff
5%

Kamala Harris
5%

Título del ítem del grupo: Josh Shapiro
4%

Pete Buttigieg
4%

J.B. Pritzker
2%

James Talarico
2%

Título del ítem del grupo: Andy Beshear
2%

Jon Stewart
2%

Título del ítem del grupo: Mark Kelly
2%

Ro Khanna
2%

Rubén Gallego
2%

Wes Moore
2%

Gretchen Whitmer
2%

Título del ítem del grupo: Michelle Obama
1%

Stephen A. Smith
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Oprah Winfrey
1%

Cory Booker
1%

Rahm Emanuel
1%

Mark Cuban
1%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%

John Fetterman
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Zohran Mamdani
1%

Chelsea Clinton
1%

Chris Murphy
1%

George Clooney
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Liz Cheney
1%

Andrew Yang
1%

Título del grupo: Jared Polis
1%

LeBron James
1%

MrBeast
1%

Roy Cooper
1%

Hillary Clinton
1%

Gina Raimondo
1%

Título del ítem de grupo: Raphael Warnock
1%

Barack Obama
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Tedtulo del edtem del grupo: Kim Kardashian
1%

Phil Murphy
1%

Hunter Biden
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Jasmine Crockett
1%

Bernie Sanders
1%

Beto O’Rourke
1%
Gavin Newsom 24.2%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.8%
Jon Ossoff 5.5%
Kamala Harris 4.5%
$951,119,277 Vol.
$951,119,277 Vol.

Gavin Newsom
24%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%

Jon Ossoff
5%

Kamala Harris
5%

Título del ítem del grupo: Josh Shapiro
4%

Pete Buttigieg
4%

J.B. Pritzker
2%

James Talarico
2%

Título del ítem del grupo: Andy Beshear
2%

Jon Stewart
2%

Título del ítem del grupo: Mark Kelly
2%

Ro Khanna
2%

Rubén Gallego
2%

Wes Moore
2%

Gretchen Whitmer
2%

Título del ítem del grupo: Michelle Obama
1%

Stephen A. Smith
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Oprah Winfrey
1%

Cory Booker
1%

Rahm Emanuel
1%

Mark Cuban
1%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%

John Fetterman
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Zohran Mamdani
1%

Chelsea Clinton
1%

Chris Murphy
1%

George Clooney
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Liz Cheney
1%

Andrew Yang
1%

Título del grupo: Jared Polis
1%

LeBron James
1%

MrBeast
1%

Roy Cooper
1%

Hillary Clinton
1%

Gina Raimondo
1%

Título del ítem de grupo: Raphael Warnock
1%

Barack Obama
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Tedtulo del edtem del grupo: Kim Kardashian
1%

Phil Murphy
1%

Hunter Biden
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Jasmine Crockett
1%

Bernie Sanders
1%

Beto O’Rourke
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
California Governor Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a March 12 Politico poll showing him trouncing Kamala Harris in their home-state primary matchup amid his ongoing book tour and pointed critiques of the Trump administration. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on her progressive grassroots energy and youth appeal, while Jon Ossoff's 5.5% reflects buzz from his viral anti-Trump Senate speech earlier this month. The fragmented field underscores post-2024 uncertainty, with no clear frontrunner beyond Newsom's fundraising prowess from the nation's largest state. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm results, donor commitments, and endorsements from party leaders during the invisible primary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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