Trader consensus heavily favors DMK at 79% to win the most seats in the April 23 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election, driven by recent opinion polls like Lokpal (April 1) projecting 181-189 seats for the DMK-led Secular Progressive Alliance (SPA) and Poll Tracker surveys forecasting a sweeping victory with strong vote shares around 40%. Incumbent Chief Minister M.K. Stalin benefits from finalized alliances with INC and others, releasing candidate lists on March 28 amid robust campaign momentum. AIADMK at 15.8% holds a competitive edge in advantageous segments via its NDA-like tie-up with BJP and PMK, but trails in seat projections (38-127 range). TVK's 6% reflects actor Vijay's solo contest in all 234 seats and youth appeal, though polls limit it to 8-10 seats maximum, positioning it as a debut third force. Nominations closed recently, with counting on May 4.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Tamil Nadu
Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Tamil Nadu
DMK 79%
ADMK 15.8%
TVK 6.0%
NCP <1%
$252,127 Vol.
$252,127 Vol.
23 abr 2026
DMK
79%
ADMK
16%
TVK
6%
NCP
<1%
CPI(M)
<1%
INC
<1%
AITC
<1%
DMDK
<1%
BSP
<1%
CPI
<1%
NPEP
<1%
BJP
<1%
DMK 79%
ADMK 15.8%
TVK 6.0%
NCP <1%
$252,127 Vol.
$252,127 Vol.
23 abr 2026
DMK
$26,154 Vol.
79%
ADMK
$23,045 Vol.
16%
TVK
$39,023 Vol.
6%
NCP
$14,906 Vol.
<1%
CPI(M)
$36,518 Vol.
<1%
INC
$27,060 Vol.
<1%
AITC
$18,827 Vol.
<1%
DMDK
$12,329 Vol.
<1%
BSP
$12,144 Vol.
<1%
CPI
$13,064 Vol.
<1%
NPEP
$12,372 Vol.
<1%
BJP
$16,687 Vol.
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Trader consensus heavily favors DMK at 79% to win the most seats in the April 23 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election, driven by recent opinion polls like Lokpal (April 1) projecting 181-189 seats for the DMK-led Secular Progressive Alliance (SPA) and Poll Tracker surveys forecasting a sweeping victory with strong vote shares around 40%. Incumbent Chief Minister M.K. Stalin benefits from finalized alliances with INC and others, releasing candidate lists on March 28 amid robust campaign momentum. AIADMK at 15.8% holds a competitive edge in advantageous segments via its NDA-like tie-up with BJP and PMK, but trails in seat projections (38-127 range). TVK's 6% reflects actor Vijay's solo contest in all 234 seats and youth appeal, though polls limit it to 8-10 seats maximum, positioning it as a debut third force. Nominations closed recently, with counting on May 4.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ET
Volumen
$252,127Fecha de finalización
23 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Trader consensus heavily favors DMK at 79% to win the most seats in the April 23 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election, driven by recent opinion polls like Lokpal (April 1) projecting 181-189 seats for the DMK-led Secular Progressive Alliance (SPA) and Poll Tracker surveys forecasting a sweeping victory with strong vote shares around 40%. Incumbent Chief Minister M.K. Stalin benefits from finalized alliances with INC and others, releasing candidate lists on March 28 amid robust campaign momentum. AIADMK at 15.8% holds a competitive edge in advantageous segments via its NDA-like tie-up with BJP and PMK, but trails in seat projections (38-127 range). TVK's 6% reflects actor Vijay's solo contest in all 234 seats and youth appeal, though polls limit it to 8-10 seats maximum, positioning it as a debut third force. Nominations closed recently, with counting on May 4.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Volumen
$252,127Fecha de finalización
23 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors DMK at 79% to win the most seats in the April 23 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election, driven by recent opinion polls like Lokpal (April 1) projecting 181-189 seats for the DMK-led Secular Progressive Alliance (SPA) and Poll Tracker surveys forecasting a sweeping victory with strong vote shares around 40%. Incumbent Chief Minister M.K. Stalin benefits from finalized alliances with INC and others, releasing candidate lists on March 28 amid robust campaign momentum. AIADMK at 15.8% holds a competitive edge in advantageous segments via its NDA-like tie-up with BJP and PMK, but trails in seat projections (38-127 range). TVK's 6% reflects actor Vijay's solo contest in all 234 seats and youth appeal, though polls limit it to 8-10 seats maximum, positioning it as a debut third force. Nominations closed recently, with counting on May 4.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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