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Política·Elecciones Mundiales

Participación en las elecciones generales hondureñas de 2025

Market icon
Política·Elecciones Mundiales

Participación en las elecciones generales hondureñas de 2025

55-60% 74.2%

<55% 17.5%

60-65% 4.0%

Polymarket

$1,584,899 Vol.

55-60% 74.2%

<55% 17.5%

60-65% 4.0%

Polymarket

$1,584,899 Vol.

<55%

$391,508 Vol.

18%

55-60%

$183,775 Vol.

74%

60-65%

$364,405 Vol.

4%

Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 74% probability of 55-60% voter turnout in Honduras' November 30, 2025 general election, aligning with historical averages—56.7% in 2017 and 68.4% in 2021—tempered by entrenched factors like institutional distrust, gang violence, and economic migration eroding participation. No major developments have shifted sentiment in the past 30 days, but the Supreme Electoral Tribunal's (TSE) ongoing registration drive has added only modest numbers to the 5.2 million voter rolls, signaling apathy amid President Xiomara Castro's administration scandals and fragmented opposition. Lower turnout odds reflect risks from further disillusionment, while higher brackets hinge on primary election turnout later in 2025 potentially galvanizing voters.

Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 74% probability of 55-60% voter turnout in Honduras' November 30, 2025 general election, aligning with historical averages—56.7% in 2017 and 68.4% in 2021—tempered by entrenched factors like institutional distrust, gang violence, and economic migration eroding participation. No major developments have shifted sentiment in the past 30 days, but the Supreme Electoral Tribunal's (TSE) ongoing registration drive has added only modest numbers to the 5.2 million voter rolls, signaling apathy amid President Xiomara Castro's administration scandals and fragmented opposition. Lower turnout odds reflect risks from further disillusionment, while higher brackets hinge on primary election turnout later in 2025 potentially galvanizing voters.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 74% probability of 55-60% voter turnout in Honduras' November 30, 2025 general election, aligning with historical averages—56.7% in 2017 and 68.4% in 2021—tempered by entrenched factors like institutional distrust, gang violence, and economic migration eroding participation. No major developments have shifted sentiment in the past 30 days, but the Supreme Electoral Tribunal's (TSE) ongoing registration drive has added only modest numbers to the 5.2 million voter rolls, signaling apathy amid President Xiomara Castro's administration scandals and fragmented opposition. Lower turnout odds reflect risks from further disillusionment, while higher brackets hinge on primary election turnout later in 2025 potentially galvanizing voters.

Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 74% probability of 55-60% voter turnout in Honduras' November 30, 2025 general election, aligning with historical averages—56.7% in 2017 and 68.4% in 2021—tempered by entrenched factors like institutional distrust, gang violence, and economic migration eroding participation. No major developments have shifted sentiment in the past 30 days, but the Supreme Electoral Tribunal's (TSE) ongoing registration drive has added only modest numbers to the 5.2 million voter rolls, signaling apathy amid President Xiomara Castro's administration scandals and fragmented opposition. Lower turnout odds reflect risks from further disillusionment, while higher brackets hinge on primary election turnout later in 2025 potentially galvanizing voters.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Participación en las elecciones generales hondureñas de 2025" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "55-60%" con 74%, seguido de "<55%" con 18%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 74¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 74% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Participación en las elecciones generales hondureñas de 2025" ha generado $1.6 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 29, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Participación en las elecciones generales hondureñas de 2025", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Participación en las elecciones generales hondureñas de 2025" es "55-60%" con 74%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 74% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "<55%" con 18%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Participación en las elecciones generales hondureñas de 2025" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.