Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24.3% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by March polls like Politico's showing him trouncing Kamala Harris in California and leading national hypotheticals, plus his book tour elevating his national profile amid vocal Trump critiques. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8.2%, drawing progressive enthusiasm but encountering moderate resistance, as South Carolina Democrats mobilize to favor electable centrists over left-wing firebrands. Jon Ossoff's 5.7% reflects Georgia incumbency edge. This wide-open field post-2024 awaits 2026 midterm outcomes, fundraising tallies, and endorsements to consolidate support, with no dominant frontrunner yet emerging.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoCandidato presidencial demócrata 2028
Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028
Gavin Newsom 24.3%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%
Jon Ossoff 5.7%
Kamala Harris 4.3%
$936,383,027 Vol.
$936,383,027 Vol.
Nov 7, 2028
Gana un 4%
Gavin Newsom
24%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%
Jon Ossoff
6%
Kamala Harris
4%
Pete Buttigieg
4%
Título del ítem del grupo: Josh Shapiro
4%
James Talarico
2%
Jon Stewart
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Andy Beshear
2%
J.B. Pritzker
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Mark Kelly
2%
Rubén Gallego
2%
Wes Moore
2%
Ro Khanna
2%
Gretchen Whitmer
1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Michelle Obama
1%
Cory Booker
1%
Rahm Emanuel
1%
Stephen A. Smith
1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Oprah Winfrey
1%
Mark Cuban
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
John Fetterman
1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Liz Cheney
1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Zohran Mamdani
1%
Chelsea Clinton
1%
Chris Murphy
1%
Roy Cooper
1%
Gina Raimondo
1%
George Clooney
1%
Tedtulo del edtem del grupo: Kim Kardashian
1%
Título del grupo: Jared Polis
1%
LeBron James
1%
MrBeast
1%
Hillary Clinton
1%
Barack Obama
1%
Tim Walz
1%
Andrew Yang
1%
Phil Murphy
1%
Hunter Biden
1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Jasmine Crockett
1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Raphael Warnock
1%
Bernie Sanders
1%
Beto O’Rourke
1%
Gavin Newsom 24.3%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%
Jon Ossoff 5.7%
Kamala Harris 4.3%
$936,383,027 Vol.
$936,383,027 Vol.
Nov 7, 2028
Gana un 4%
Gavin Newsom
$16,565,814 Vol.
24%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$6,132,152 Vol.
8%
Jon Ossoff
$5,846,105 Vol.
6%
Kamala Harris
$8,669,902 Vol.
4%
Pete Buttigieg
$9,472,290 Vol.
4%
Título del ítem del grupo: Josh Shapiro
$5,875,016 Vol.
4%
James Talarico
$3,608,386 Vol.
2%
Jon Stewart
$9,854,045 Vol.
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Andy Beshear
$6,145,728 Vol.
2%
J.B. Pritzker
$11,665,879 Vol.
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Mark Kelly
$10,983,123 Vol.
2%
Rubén Gallego
$3,553,358 Vol.
2%
Wes Moore
$13,487,004 Vol.
2%
Ro Khanna
$4,211,283 Vol.
2%
Gretchen Whitmer
$7,154,027 Vol.
1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Michelle Obama
$21,389,303 Vol.
1%
Cory Booker
$21,175,533 Vol.
1%
Rahm Emanuel
$11,139,431 Vol.
1%
Stephen A. Smith
$13,803,405 Vol.
1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Oprah Winfrey
$43,239,819 Vol.
1%
Mark Cuban
$17,687,645 Vol.
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
$8,708,522 Vol.
1%
John Fetterman
$16,934,576 Vol.
1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Liz Cheney
$32,058,712 Vol.
1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Zohran Mamdani
$32,982,132 Vol.
1%
Chelsea Clinton
$44,374,495 Vol.
1%
Chris Murphy
$11,395,638 Vol.
1%
Roy Cooper
$24,661,964 Vol.
1%
Gina Raimondo
$27,305,079 Vol.
1%
George Clooney
$37,183,052 Vol.
1%
Tedtulo del edtem del grupo: Kim Kardashian
$32,841,161 Vol.
1%
Título del grupo: Jared Polis
$19,312,430 Vol.
1%
LeBron James
$38,525,305 Vol.
1%
MrBeast
$35,184,278 Vol.
1%
Hillary Clinton
$37,359,556 Vol.
1%
Barack Obama
$25,656,238 Vol.
1%
Tim Walz
$36,459,912 Vol.
1%
Andrew Yang
$41,995,335 Vol.
1%
Phil Murphy
$33,392,814 Vol.
1%
Hunter Biden
$31,412,377 Vol.
1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Jasmine Crockett
$22,371,963 Vol.
1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Raphael Warnock
$24,510,339 Vol.
1%
Bernie Sanders
$38,652,485 Vol.
1%
Beto O’Rourke
$31,449,211 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24.3% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by March polls like Politico's showing him trouncing Kamala Harris in California and leading national hypotheticals, plus his book tour elevating his national profile amid vocal Trump critiques. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8.2%, drawing progressive enthusiasm but encountering moderate resistance, as South Carolina Democrats mobilize to favor electable centrists over left-wing firebrands. Jon Ossoff's 5.7% reflects Georgia incumbency edge. This wide-open field post-2024 awaits 2026 midterm outcomes, fundraising tallies, and endorsements to consolidate support, with no dominant frontrunner yet emerging.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET
Volumen
$936,383,027Fecha de finalización
Nov 7, 2028Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24.3% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by March polls like Politico's showing him trouncing Kamala Harris in California and leading national hypotheticals, plus his book tour elevating his national profile amid vocal Trump critiques. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8.2%, drawing progressive enthusiasm but encountering moderate resistance, as South Carolina Democrats mobilize to favor electable centrists over left-wing firebrands. Jon Ossoff's 5.7% reflects Georgia incumbency edge. This wide-open field post-2024 awaits 2026 midterm outcomes, fundraising tallies, and endorsements to consolidate support, with no dominant frontrunner yet emerging.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$936,383,027Fecha de finalización
Nov 7, 2028Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24.3% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by March polls like Politico's showing him trouncing Kamala Harris in California and leading national hypotheticals, plus his book tour elevating his national profile amid vocal Trump critiques. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8.2%, drawing progressive enthusiasm but encountering moderate resistance, as South Carolina Democrats mobilize to favor electable centrists over left-wing firebrands. Jon Ossoff's 5.7% reflects Georgia incumbency edge. This wide-open field post-2024 awaits 2026 midterm outcomes, fundraising tallies, and endorsements to consolidate support, with no dominant frontrunner yet emerging.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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