Trader sentiment favors 34°C or below at 42.5% implied probability for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 26, anchored by India Meteorological Department forecasts projecting a maximum around 33-35°C under clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds. Recent observations show March 24 peaking at 33.2°C and March 25 at 34.1°C, aligning with seasonal norms where late-March averages hover near 33°C amid pre-monsoon dry conditions that limit extreme heating. Lower humidity (40-50%) and no heat dome signals reduce odds for 36°C+ spikes (19% combined), though models note slight upside risk from solar insolation if winds calm; traders watch hourly updates from IMD stations for final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
35°C 29%
34°C or below 23%
36°C 19%
40°C 12%
34°C or below
34%
35°C
29%
36°C
19%
37°C
9%
38°C
3%
39°C
10%
40°C
12%
41°C
6%
42°C
8%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
1%
35°C 29%
34°C or below 23%
36°C 19%
40°C 12%
34°C or below
34%
35°C
29%
36°C
19%
37°C
9%
38°C
3%
39°C
10%
40°C
12%
41°C
6%
42°C
8%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors 34°C or below at 42.5% implied probability for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 26, anchored by India Meteorological Department forecasts projecting a maximum around 33-35°C under clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds. Recent observations show March 24 peaking at 33.2°C and March 25 at 34.1°C, aligning with seasonal norms where late-March averages hover near 33°C amid pre-monsoon dry conditions that limit extreme heating. Lower humidity (40-50%) and no heat dome signals reduce odds for 36°C+ spikes (19% combined), though models note slight upside risk from solar insolation if winds calm; traders watch hourly updates from IMD stations for final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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