Trader consensus favors 33°C or below at 60.5% implied probability for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 25, driven primarily by the India Meteorological Department's latest forecast projecting a daytime high of 32-33°C amid mild northerly winds suppressing heat buildup. March climatology in Lucknow typically sees average highs of 31-34°C, with recent observations showing daytime peaks of 30-32°C over the past week due to lingering winter air masses and low humidity limiting solar heating. Ensemble models from IMD align on subdued convective activity, positioning 34°C (15.5%) and 35°C (13.5%) as secondary contenders, while extreme outcomes above 37°C carry low odds absent any unforecast heatwave trigger. Traders eye tomorrow's 1200 UTC update for potential shifts.