Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

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Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

23%

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

23%

$27m Vol.

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Super Bowl Champion 2026 card icon

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Los Angeles R

20%

Buffalo

12%

Los Angeles R

20%

Buffalo

12%

$624m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

46%

Kevin Hassett

42%

Kevin Warsh

46%

Kevin Hassett

42%

$63m Vol.

Maduro out by...? card icon

Maduro out by...?

December 31, 2025

5%

January 31, 2026

17%

December 31, 2025

5%

January 31, 2026

17%

$26m Vol.

Will Trump release Epstein files by...? card icon

Will Trump release Epstein files by...?

December 19

65%

December 31

81%

December 19

65%

December 31

81%

$6m Vol.

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 16? card icon

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 16?

40%

Up

$20k Vol.

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Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch? card icon

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

>$1B

82%

>$2B

76%

>$1B

82%

>$2B

76%

$25m Vol.

Survivor 49 Winner card icon

Survivor 49 Winner

Savannah Louie

92%

Rizo Velovic

4%

Savannah Louie

92%

Rizo Velovic

4%

$460k Vol.

Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua card icon

Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua

Jake Paul

10%

Anthony Joshua

88%

Jake Paul

10%

Anthony Joshua

88%

$2m Vol.

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025? card icon

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?

0

91%

1-100

7%

0

91%

1-100

7%

$7m Vol.

David Friedberg image

David Friedberg

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NFL MVP card icon

NFL MVP

Matthew Stafford

70%

Drake Maye

13%

Matthew Stafford

70%

Drake Maye

13%

$1m Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Kristi Noem

24%

Pete Hegseth

18%

Kristi Noem

24%

Pete Hegseth

18%

$237k Vol.

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US x Venezuela military engagement by...? card icon

US x Venezuela military engagement by...?

December 31

17%

January 15, 2026

27%

December 31

17%

January 15, 2026

27%

$39m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

4%

chance

$57m Vol.

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Bitcoin above ___ on December 16? card icon

Bitcoin above ___ on December 16?

84,000

100%

86,000

98%

84,000

100%

86,000

98%

$3m Vol.

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What price will gold close at in 2025? ($2500-3200) card icon

What price will gold close at in 2025? ($2500-3200)

<$2,500

<1%

$2,500-$2,600

<1%

<$2,500

<1%

$2,500-$2,600

<1%

$10m Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets December 9 - December 16, 2025? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets December 9 - December 16, 2025?

240-259

<1%

260-279

99%

240-259

<1%

260-279

99%

$16m Vol.

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