Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

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Time 2025 Person of the Year card icon

Time 2025 Person of the Year

Jensen Huang

17%

Jensen Huang

17%

$33m Vol.

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Fed decision in December? card icon

Fed decision in December?

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

97%

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

97%

$334m Vol.

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Miami Mayoral Election card icon

Miami Mayoral Election

Eileen Higgins

93%

Emilio Gonzalez

7%

Eileen Higgins

93%

Emilio Gonzalez

7%

$71k Vol.

Ducks

50%

Penguins

51%

$804k Vol.

•NHL•Tomorrow 12:00 AM

Knicks

66%

Raptors

35%

$844k Vol.

•NBA•Tomorrow 1:30 AM

Sabres

35%

Oilers

66%

$773k Vol.

•NHL•Tomorrow 2:00 AM
What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model? card icon

What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model?

December 10

3%

December 11

74%

December 10

3%

December 11

74%

$113k Vol.

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Elon Musk # tweets December 5 - December 12, 2025? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets December 5 - December 12, 2025?

420-439

15%

440-459

19%

420-439

15%

440-459

19%

$6m Vol.

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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

3%

chance

$51m Vol.

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Maduro out by...? card icon

Maduro out by...?

December 31, 2025

11%

March 31, 2026

34%

December 31, 2025

11%

March 31, 2026

34%

$23m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett

67%

Kevin Warsh

16%

Kevin Hassett

67%

Kevin Warsh

16%

$21m Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Kristi Noem

22%

Pete Hegseth

20%

Kristi Noem

22%

Pete Hegseth

20%

$53k Vol.

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College Football Champion 2026 card icon

College Football Champion 2026

Ohio State

31%

Indiana

21%

Ohio State

31%

Indiana

21%

$3m Vol.

US x Venezuela military engagement by...? card icon

US x Venezuela military engagement by...?

December 9

1%

December 15

14%

December 9

1%

December 15

14%

$35m Vol.

Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua card icon

Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua

Jake Paul

10%

Anthony Joshua

85%

Jake Paul

10%

Anthony Joshua

85%

$789k Vol.

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...? card icon

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

December 9

1%

December 13

89%

December 9

1%

December 13

89%

$1m Vol.

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Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner card icon

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Ken Paxton

61%

John Cornyn

28%

Ken Paxton

61%

John Cornyn

28%

$544k Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025? card icon

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?

↑ 110,000

14%

↑ 105,000

22%

↑ 110,000

14%

↑ 105,000

22%

$95m Vol.

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2026 FIFA World Cup Winner card icon

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Spain

16%

England

13%

Spain

16%

England

13%

$17m Vol.