Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

11%

$0 交易量

$17.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

What will Trump say this week? (March 22)

What will Trump say this week? (March 22)

<1%

Nancy / Pelosi

$161K 交易量

$53.2K today

$56.4K Liq.

What will Trump say this week? (March 29)

What will Trump say this week? (March 29)

83%

Rigged / Stolen

$189K 交易量

$31.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 days

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

89%

SAVE Act / SAVE America Act

$67.2K 交易量

$11.4K Liq.

What will Trump say in March?

What will Trump say in March?

74%

Sudan

$127K 交易量

$10.4K Liq.

18

Ends in 5 days

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (March 27)

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (March 27)

92%

Trump

$2.2K 交易量

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

What will be said during the BLAST Premier Open Rotterdam 2026 Grand Final?

What will be said during the BLAST Premier Open Rotterdam 2026 Grand Final?

94%

Major

$818 交易量

$4.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?

What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?

79%

Dollar 5+ times

$446 交易量

$7.0K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

24%

Gavin Newsom

$912M 交易量

$6M today

$44M Liq.

609

Ends in over 2 years

What will Trump say during NRCC Dinner on March 25?

What will Trump say during NRCC Dinner on March 25?

95%

SAVE Act / SAVE America Act

$42.3K 交易量

$62.7K Liq.

5

What will Trump say during National Agriculture Day events on March 27?

What will Trump say during National Agriculture Day events on March 27?

73%

Biden

$21.9K 交易量

$21.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 1 day

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

23%

Tulsi Gabbard

$105K 交易量

$527K Liq.

14

Ends in 9 months

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

56%

Donald Brodie

$77.1K 交易量

$98.0K Liq.

13

Ends in 9 months

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

13%

$4.7K 交易量

$6.9K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

80%

March 31

$8.9K 交易量

$17.5K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

98%

Stratton 6–9%

$0 交易量

$11.2K Liq.

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

92%

$0 交易量

$7.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

88%

$0 交易量

$5.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner

IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner

90%

André Carson

$1.4K 交易量

$25.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary Winner

West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary Winner

75%

Jeffrey Kessler

$22.3K 交易量

$44.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 拜登辍学 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 120 个活跃的 拜登辍学 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $913.1M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028",市场目前认为 Gavin Newsom 的概率为 24%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 拜登辍学 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。