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谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选?

Market icon

谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选?

$374,946 交易量

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$374,946 交易量

Polymarket
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坎迪斯·欧文斯

$210 交易量

17%

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加文·纽森

$37,091 交易量

22%

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皮特·布蒂吉格

$4,465 交易量

16%

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格雷琴·惠特默

$109 交易量

16%

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卡玛拉·哈里斯

$10,034 交易量

16%

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亚历山大·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯

$17,323 交易量

16%

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约翰·费特曼

$3,745 交易量

15%

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安迪·贝希尔

$3,153 交易量

15%

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J.D.万斯

$9,643 交易量

14%

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罗恩·德桑蒂斯

$535 交易量

14%

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马克·库班

$812 交易量

14%

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妮基·黑利

$1,520 交易量

14%

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拉斐尔·沃诺克

$323 交易量

13%

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马克·凯利

$3,669 交易量

13%

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伊丽莎白·斯特凡尼克

$1,631 交易量

13%

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贾里德·波利斯

$2,524 交易量

13%

Market icon

泰德·克鲁兹

$10,342 交易量

13%

Market icon

史蒂夫·班农

$4,017 交易量

13%

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克里斯蒂·诺姆

$2,910 交易量

12%

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韦斯·摩尔

$4,469 交易量

12%

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萨拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

$3,124 交易量

12%

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约翰·图恩

$1,856 交易量

12%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$6,103 交易量

11%

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杨安泽

$4,108 交易量

11%

Market icon

凯蒂·布里特

$20,221 交易量

11%

Market icon

乔恩·奥索夫

$1,248 交易量

11%

Market icon

拉姆·伊曼纽尔

$5,470 交易量

11%

Market icon

图尔西·加巴德

$871 交易量

11%

Market icon

德维恩·“岩石”·约翰逊

$2,398 交易量

10%

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金·卡戴珊

$5,044 交易量

10%

Market icon

布莱恩·坎普

$153 交易量

10%

Market icon

贝托·奥洛克

$4,353 交易量

10%

Market icon

斯蒂芬·A·史密斯

$11,593 交易量

10%

Market icon

塔克·卡尔森

$2,243 交易量

9%

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唐纳德·特朗普二世

$3,651 交易量

9%

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科里·布克

$10,255 交易量

9%

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格雷格·阿博特

$715 交易量

9%

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玛乔丽·泰勒·格林

$13,202 交易量

9%

Market icon

J.B.普利茨克

$1,939 交易量

9%

Market icon

伊万卡·特朗普

$5,101 交易量

9%

Market icon

迈克·彭斯

$2,428 交易量

8%

Market icon

兰德·保罗

$8,434 交易量

8%

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汤姆·布雷迪

$4,974 交易量

8%

Market icon

乔治·克鲁尼

$2,697 交易量

8%

Market icon

奥普拉·温弗瑞

$12,335 交易量

8%

Market icon

埃隆·马斯克

$4,537 交易量

8%

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格伦·杨金

$4,447 交易量

8%

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利兹·切尼

$41 交易量

8%

Market icon

乔恩·斯图尔特

$286 交易量

8%

Market icon

伯尼·桑德斯

$1,224 交易量

8%

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乔什·霍利

$2,946 交易量

7%

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希拉里·克林顿

$5,431 交易量

7%

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马可·鲁比奥

$2,962 交易量

7%

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罗伊·库珀

$3,142 交易量

7%

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切尔西·克林顿

$4,047 交易量

7%

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拜伦·唐纳兹

$3,597 交易量

7%

Market icon

小罗伯特·F·肯尼迪

$3,497 交易量

7%

Market icon

乔什·沙皮罗

$4,672 交易量

7%

Market icon

吉娜·雷蒙多

$3,471 交易量

11%

Market icon

菲尔·墨菲

$1,860 交易量

6%

Market icon

马特·盖茨

$1,836 交易量

6%

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蒂姆·沃尔兹

$2,817 交易量

6%

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亨特·拜登

$18,308 交易量

5%

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贝拉克·奥巴马

$1,937 交易量

4%

Market icon

埃丽卡·柯克

$3,600 交易量

4%

Market icon

米歇尔·奥巴马

$2,844 交易量

4%

Market icon

唐纳德·特朗普

$4,446 交易量

4%

Market icon

佐赫兰·曼达尼

$16,192 交易量

3%

Market icon

MrBeast

$17,285 交易量

3%

Market icon

勒布朗·詹姆斯

$6,483 交易量

2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$374,946
结束日期
Dec 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 70+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "加文·纽森" at 22%, followed by "坎迪斯·欧文斯" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 22¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选?" has generated $374.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选?," browse the 70+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选?" is "加文·纽森" at 22%, meaning the market assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "坎迪斯·欧文斯" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.