Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that no portion of Venezuela will be formally annexed as the 51st U.S. state by December 31, 2026, due to insurmountable constitutional, diplomatic, and logistical barriers, including requirements for congressional approval, Venezuelan consent via referendum, and international recognition. President Trump's March 17 quip suggesting statehood—tied to Venezuela's World Baseball Classic semifinal victory over Italy—sparked brief speculation amid post-January U.S. intervention capturing Nicolás Maduro and reestablishing diplomatic ties, but no official agreements or policy shifts have followed. Realistic shifts would demand a pro-U.S. transitional government requesting annexation, rapid congressional action, and global acquiescence, scenarios deemed improbable within the nine-month window given historical precedents like Puerto Rico's stalled statehood bids.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$124,293 交易量
$124,293 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$124,293 交易量
$124,293 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that no portion of Venezuela will be formally annexed as the 51st U.S. state by December 31, 2026, due to insurmountable constitutional, diplomatic, and logistical barriers, including requirements for congressional approval, Venezuelan consent via referendum, and international recognition. President Trump's March 17 quip suggesting statehood—tied to Venezuela's World Baseball Classic semifinal victory over Italy—sparked brief speculation amid post-January U.S. intervention capturing Nicolás Maduro and reestablishing diplomatic ties, but no official agreements or policy shifts have followed. Realistic shifts would demand a pro-U.S. transitional government requesting annexation, rapid congressional action, and global acquiescence, scenarios deemed improbable within the nine-month window given historical precedents like Puerto Rico's stalled statehood bids.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
交易量
$124,293结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that no portion of Venezuela will be formally annexed as the 51st U.S. state by December 31, 2026, due to insurmountable constitutional, diplomatic, and logistical barriers, including requirements for congressional approval, Venezuelan consent via referendum, and international recognition. President Trump's March 17 quip suggesting statehood—tied to Venezuela's World Baseball Classic semifinal victory over Italy—sparked brief speculation amid post-January U.S. intervention capturing Nicolás Maduro and reestablishing diplomatic ties, but no official agreements or policy shifts have followed. Realistic shifts would demand a pro-U.S. transitional government requesting annexation, rapid congressional action, and global acquiescence, scenarios deemed improbable within the nine-month window given historical precedents like Puerto Rico's stalled statehood bids.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$124,293结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that no portion of Venezuela will be formally annexed as the 51st U.S. state by December 31, 2026, due to insurmountable constitutional, diplomatic, and logistical barriers, including requirements for congressional approval, Venezuelan consent via referendum, and international recognition. President Trump's March 17 quip suggesting statehood—tied to Venezuela's World Baseball Classic semifinal victory over Italy—sparked brief speculation amid post-January U.S. intervention capturing Nicolás Maduro and reestablishing diplomatic ties, but no official agreements or policy shifts have followed. Realistic shifts would demand a pro-U.S. transitional government requesting annexation, rapid congressional action, and global acquiescence, scenarios deemed improbable within the nine-month window given historical precedents like Puerto Rico's stalled statehood bids.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题