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金砖国家在2026年是否会增加一个新成员?

Market icon

金砖国家在2026年是否会增加一个新成员?

Dec 31

Dec 31

41% chance
Polymarket
NEW

41% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus favors no new full BRICS member in 2026 at 59%, driven by the group's cautious expansion stance following the October 2024 Kazan summit, where leaders introduced a "partner country" category for 13 nations—including Algeria, Nigeria, and Turkey—instead of granting full membership to avoid diluting influence amid consensus hurdles among the 10 current members. No official announcements have emerged for 2026 additions ahead of the 2025 Rio de Janeiro summit, with internal divergences (e.g., India's reservations) and external pressures like U.S. President-elect Trump's tariff threats against de-dollarization efforts reinforcing skepticism. While interest persists from countries like Pakistan and Venezuela, procedural requirements for unanimous approval make rapid growth unlikely.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$0
结束日期
Dec 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus favors no new full BRICS member in 2026 at 59%, driven by the group's cautious expansion stance following the October 2024 Kazan summit, where leaders introduced a "partner country" category for 13 nations—including Algeria, Nigeria, and Turkey—instead of granting full membership to avoid diluting influence amid consensus hurdles among the 10 current members. No official announcements have emerged for 2026 additions ahead of the 2025 Rio de Janeiro summit, with internal divergences (e.g., India's reservations) and external pressures like U.S. President-elect Trump's tariff threats against de-dollarization efforts reinforcing skepticism. While interest persists from countries like Pakistan and Venezuela, procedural requirements for unanimous approval make rapid growth unlikely.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$0
结束日期
Dec 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"金砖国家在2026年是否会增加一个新成员?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"金砖国家将在2026年增加新成员吗?",概率为 41%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 41¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 41%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"金砖国家在2026年是否会增加一个新成员?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jan 7, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"金砖国家在2026年是否会增加一个新成员?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"金砖国家在2026年是否会增加一个新成员?"的当前领先者是"金砖国家将在2026年增加新成员吗?",概率为 41%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 41%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"金砖国家在2026年是否会增加一个新成员?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。